Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 9/19/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Tuesday, September 19, 2023

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: Bally Sports South

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (+205) Atlanta (-250)

The Philadelphia Phillies (81-68) are en route to Truist Park on Tuesday where they will attempt to beat the Atlanta Braves (96-53). The moneyline on this contest has Philadelphia at +205 while Atlanta is opening at -250. The over/under has been set at 9. The pitchers taking the mound will be Cristopher Sanchez and Spencer Strider.

The Phillies have accounted for 276 doubles as a unit and have hit 198 baseballs out of the stadium. Philadelphia is slugging .440 and have been called out on strikes 1,350 times, while drawing a walk on 496 occasions. As a squad, the Philadelphia Phillies are recording 4.9 runs per outing, which is 9th in the league. They have accumulated 706 RBI's in addition to 1,324 base knocks on the campaign, and their batting average is at .259. They have 730 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .330.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.02 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.25. Phillies pitchers have allowed 171 long balls and also 658 runs (13th in the league). Philadelphia has yielded 1,220 base hits (8.3 per 9 innings) and 593 earned runs. The Phillies hold a team ERA of 4.03 over the course of the season (12th in the league), and the staff has struck out 1,326 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 439 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.04 as a squad over the course of the season.

The Phillies relief pitchers have recorded a save rate of 63.5% and has stepped onto the mound in 137 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 173 base runners this season and 35.3% of those players earned a run for their team. Phillies bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 120 times in addition to having 159 appearances in high leverage situations. The Phillies have dispatched 477 relief pitchers to the mound for the season. The relievers have notched 74 holds so far this season (20th in the league). They have accumulated 40 saves for the year and have not converted 23 out of their 63 chances to get a save.

The Phillies have turned 69.4% of baseballs in play into outs in their 11,928 innings on the field, which has them ranked 14th in baseball. The Philadelphia Phillies are sitting with 3,976 putouts for the season, in addition to 1,272 assists and 86 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .984 which has them ranked 23rd in professional baseball, and have earned 107 double plays.

Sanchez has taken the mound for 140 innings and is sitting with 131 strikeouts thus far in his career. His earned run average is 4.18 (65 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.214. He has surrendered 132 hits (8.5 hits per 9 innings) and has had 38 walks. Sanchez (5-6 record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 4.16 and he has gone up against 587 hitters during his time in the majors.

Atlanta has accounted for 288 long balls for the year as well as 837 RBIs. They have notched 262 doubles, while taking a walk 494 times and notching 865 runs. The Atlanta Braves are sitting with an OBP of .343 as well as a team batting average of .275 so far this year. The Braves have a slugging percentage of .501 and they are scoring 5.81 runs per game (1st in baseball). They have been called out on strikes on 1,177 occasions (27th in MLB) and have totaled 1,411 base hits.

The Braves hold a team WHIP of 1.293 in addition to having a FIP of 4.04 as a unit on the season. Their K/BB ratio is 9.60 (1,411 strikeouts vs 486 free passes). They come in at 10th in the league as a staff in total hits relinquished with 1,224. They have allowed 169 HR's and they give up 4.40 runs per 9 innings (11th in the league). The Atlanta pitching staff have relinquished 646 runs for the season while holding a team ERA of 4.07 (598 earned runs yielded).

Atlanta has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 71 save opportunities and they have tallied 48 saves. They are currently ranked 9th in baseball holding a save percentage of 67.6%, and they have sent 488 relievers onto the diamond on the year. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 158 times in high leverage situations and on 119 occasions with runners on base. Atlanta bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 30.7% out of their 176 inherited base runners. With 166 save situations, the Braves have earned 94 holds in addition to 23 blown saves.

The Atlanta Braves have gotten 127 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .985 (16th in pro baseball). The Braves have accrued 1,210 assists, 77 errors and have accumulated 3,966 putouts so far this year. In 11,898 innings played, the Braves hold a defensive efficiency of 68.3% (23rd in MLB).

Thus far in his career, Strider has conceded 217 hits while he has totaled 461 K's in 303 innings. Strider (29-10 win-loss record in his career) holds a 3.27 earned run average and has given up 6.4 hits per 9 innings. He has conceded a total of 110 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.046 and being the owner of a FIP of 2.5. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.61 and he has gone up against 1,225 hitters during his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Atlanta (-250)

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