Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 9/18/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Monday, September 18, 2023

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: Bally Sports South

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (+100) Atlanta (-125)

The Atlanta Braves (96-52) will try to beat the Philadelphia Phillies (81-67) at Truist Park on Monday. The line on this matchup has the Phillies at +100 while the Braves open at -125. The total is 9. The starting pitchers are Zack Wheeler and Kyle Wright.

Philadelphia is slugging .439 and have been called out on strikes 1,342 times, while taking a walk on 490 occasions. They have accounted for 703 runs batted in and 1,313 base knocks for the year, and their average at the plate sits at .259. The Phillies have accrued 274 doubles as a squad and have hit 197 baseballs out of the stadium. They have a total of 725 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .329. As a unit, the Philadelphia Phillies are putting up 4.9 runs per contest, which has them at 9th in the league.

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The Phillies have compiled a team earned run average of 4.01 on the year (12th in the league), and the staff has rung up 1,323 hitters. Phillies pitchers have conceded 169 home runs in addition to 652 runs in total (13th in the league). They have walked 438 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.03 as a team on the year. Philadelphia has surrendered 1,211 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) and 587 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 3.02 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.25.

The Phillies relievers have accumulated a save rate of 63.5% and has come into the game in 137 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 173 base runners on the campaign and 35.3% of those runners earned a run for their team. Phillies pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 120 times and also have had 158 appearances in high leverage situations. The Phillies have sent 476 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign. The relief pitchers have earned 74 holds for the year (20th in the league). They have compiled 40 saves this year and have blown 23 of 63 chances to get a save.

The Phillies have turned 69.3% of balls hit into play into outs out of 11,856 innings on the field, ranking them 14th in baseball. The Philadelphia Phillies are sitting with 3,952 putouts so far this season, in addition to 1,262 assists and 86 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .984 which ranks 23rd in MLB, and have earned 107 double plays.

Wheeler has taken the mound for 1,361 innings and has 1,385 strikeouts in his career. His earned run average is 3.46 (523 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.186. He has given up 1,214 base knocks (8.0 hits per 9 innings) with 401 free passes. Wheeler (85-63 career mark) has earned a FIP of 3.35 and he has gone up against 5,644 batters during his time in the majors.

The Atlanta Braves have recorded a team OBP of .343 as well as a batting average of .275 on the season. They have struck out on 1,166 occasions (27th in baseball) and have earned 1,402 hits. Atlanta has 287 long balls this year to go along with 835 runs batted in. The Braves hold a team SLG% of .502 and they earn 5.83 runs per game (1st in MLB). They have tallied 257 doubles, while walking 492 times as well as scoring 863 runs.

The Braves are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.282 and have a FIP of 3.99 as a pitching staff on the year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.60 (1,406 strikeouts vs 477 walks). They rank 9th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 1,207. They have conceded 165 dingers and they concede 4.32 runs per 9 innings (9th in baseball). The Atlanta pitching staff have conceded 630 runs for the year while having a team ERA of 3.99 (582 earned runs surrendered).

Atlanta has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 71 save opportunities and they have tallied 48 saves. They are ranked 9th in MLB holding a save percentage of 67.6%, and they have sent 486 bullpen pitchers to the hill over the course of the season. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 158 times in high leverage situations in addition to 118 occasions with base runners. Atlanta relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 31.2% out of their 173 inherited runners. With 166 save situations, the Braves have compiled 94 holds and 23 blown saves.

In 11,826 innings played, the Braves are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 68.4% (22nd in professional baseball). The Atlanta Braves have turned 126 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .985 (16th in pro baseball). The Braves have racked up 1,201 assists, 76 errors and have accumulated 3,942 putouts for the season.

Wright (23-15 record in his career) is the owner of a 4.40 ERA and has given up 8.4 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.27 and he has gone up against 1,173 batters in his MLB career. He has surrendered 133 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.353 and having a FIP of 4.4. Thus far in his career, Wright has allowed 255 hits and he has 256 punch outs in 272 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Philadelphia (+100)

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