Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 5/28/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Sunday, May 28, 2023

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: ESPN2

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (+250) Atlanta (-300)

The Philadelphia Phillies (24-27) are en route to Truist Park on Sunday where they will try to defeat the Atlanta Braves (31-20). The odds on this game have Philadelphia at +250 and Atlanta is at -300. The total has been set at 8.5. The starting pitchers are Dylan Covey and Spencer Strider.

The Phillies have compiled 97 doubles as a unit and have knocked 53 balls out of the park. Philadelphia has a slugging percentage of .417 and have struck out 453 times, while drawing a walk on 156 occasions. As a unit, the Philadelphia Phillies are scoring 4.3 runs/g, which has them sitting at 21st in the league. They have 212 RBI's and 450 hits on the season, and their batting average sits at .258. They have earned 221 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .322.

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Their K/BB ratio is 2.82 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.33. Phillies pitchers have relinquished 53 long balls in addition to 253 total runs (23rd in baseball). Philadelphia has allowed 429 base hits (8.7 per 9 innings) as well as 228 earned runs. The Phillies have compiled a team ERA of 4.61 on the year (24th in the league), and the staff has struck out 465 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 165 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 3.98 as a unit so far this year.

The Phillies have sent 177 relievers to the hill for the year. The relief pitchers have inherited 73 base runners so far this season and 38.4% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. They have accumulated 13 saves on the year and have blown 4 of their 17 chances to get a save. The Phillies relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 76.5% and has come into the game in 44 save situations. The relief pitchers have tallied 27 holds on the campaign (15th in MLB). Phillies pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 44 times in addition to having 46 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Philadelphia Phillies have amassed 1,336 putouts this season, as well as 412 assists and 25 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .986 which puts them in 15th in pro baseball, and have 26 double plays. The Phillies have converted 67.8% of balls hit into play into outs in their 4,008 innings on the field, which has them sitting 22nd in baseball.

Covey (6-29 career record) has earned a FIP of 5.46 while he has faced 1,230 opposing hitters in the majors. He has allowed 315 base hits (10.4 hits per 9 innings) with 118 walks. His ERA is 6.45 (196 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.584. Covey has taken the mound for 273 innings and has earned 193 strikeouts in his pro baseball career.

The Atlanta Braves have a team OBP of .332 and a batting average of .258 this year. They have struck out on 444 occasions (14th in MLB) and have accounted for 444 base knocks. Atlanta has recorded 85 home runs on the season to go along with 254 RBIs. The Braves have a team slugging % of .462 and they score 5.16 runs per game (5th in the league). They have recorded 92 doubles, while getting a free base 177 times and scoring 263 runs.

The Braves have a team WHIP of 1.280 in addition to having a FIP of 3.71 as a unit so far this year. They come in at 13th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 421. The Atlanta pitching staff have allowed 207 runs so far this season while having a team ERA of 3.70 (186 earned runs surrendered). Their K/BB ratio comes in at 9.70 (486 strikeouts against 158 bases on balls). They have yielded 48 homers and they surrender 4.12 runs per 9 innings (7th in baseball).

Atlanta relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 38.8% out of 67 inherited runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 57 times in high leverage situations in addition to 45 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 59 save situations, the Braves have accrued 34 holds in addition to 12 blown saves. They are ranked 27th in the league holding a save rate of 52.0%, and they have sent 174 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season. Atlanta has had relief pitchers enter the contest in 25 save opportunities and they have come away with 13 saves.

The Atlanta Braves have turned 44 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .981 (29th in baseball). The Braves have recorded 419 assists, 34 errors and have amassed 1,358 putouts for the season. Out of their 4,074 innings on the field, the Braves hold a efficiency on defense of 67.1% (28th in pro baseball).

So far in his career, Strider has given up 127 base knocks while earning 299 punch outs in 191 innings pitched. He has allowed a total of 59 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.012 and a FIP of 2.1. His strikeout to walk ratio is 4.46 and he has faced 771 opposing hitters in his career. Strider (16-7 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a 2.77 ERA and has surrendered 6.0 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Philadelphia (+250)

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