Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 10/9/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Monday, October 9, 2023

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: TBS

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (+145) Atlanta (-175)

The Philadelphia Phillies (90-72) are en route to Truist Park on Monday where they will attempt to beat the Atlanta Braves (104-58). The moneyline on this game has the Phillies at +145 while the Braves are sitting at -175. The over/under is 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Zack Wheeler and Max Fried.

As a unit, the Philadelphia Phillies are recording 4.9 runs per outing, which has them at 8th in MLB. They have notched a total of 796 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .327. The Phillies have tallied 291 two-baggers as a squad and have smacked 220 baseballs out of the park. They have tallied 771 RBI's as well as 1,417 base knocks on the season, and their batting average is .256. Philadelphia is slugging .438 and have been rung up 1,481 times, while drawing a walk on 539 occasions.

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The Phillies are sitting with a team ERA of 4.02 for the year (11th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 1,454 batters. Phillies pitchers have given up 185 long balls in addition to 715 runs in total (12th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 470 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.00 as a squad on the season. Philadelphia has given up 1,317 base hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and 645 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 3.09 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.24.

The Phillies have dispatched 523 relief pitchers to the hill this year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 182 runners this season and 34.1% of them ended up scoring. They have tallied 45 saves on the year and have blown 26 of 71 save chances. The Phillies relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 63.4% and has entered the game in 158 save situations. The relief pitchers have tallied 87 holds on the campaign (14th in the league). Phillies relief pitchers have gone to the mound with players on base 131 times as well as having 181 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Philadelphia Phillies have accumulated 4,327 putouts for the season, in addition to 1,385 assists and 92 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .984 which ranks 21st in pro baseball, and have accumulated 117 double plays. The Phillies have turned 69.5% of balls in play into outs out of their 12,981 innings, ranking them 13th in pro baseball.

Wheeler (87-63 career win-loss record) holds a FIP of 3.34 and he has faced 5,714 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues. He has conceded 1,229 base hits (8.0 hits per 9 innings) and has 405 free passes. His ERA is 3.45 (528 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.185. Wheeler has taken the hill for 1,378 innings and has tallied 1,401 punch outs during his career.

The Atlanta Braves have recorded an OBP of .344 and a batting average of .276 this season. They have struck out on 1,289 occasions (25th in the league) and have recorded 1,543 base knocks. Atlanta is sitting with 307 long balls on the year as well as 916 runs batted in. The Braves have a SLG% of .501 and they score 5.85 runs per contest (1st in baseball). They have 293 doubles, while walking 538 times and earning 947 runs.

The Atlanta pitching staff have allowed 716 runs so far this season while holding an ERA of 4.14 (662 earned runs surrendered). They have surrendered 187 long balls and they relinquish 4.48 runs per 9 innings (13th in baseball). The Braves are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.302 in addition to having a FIP of 4.10 as a squad this season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 9.50 (1,516 strikeouts against 534 bases on balls). They sit at 16th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,341.

Atlanta relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 31.4% of 188 inherited runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 171 times in high leverage situations and also on 129 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 181 save situations, the Braves have 102 holds and also 26 blown saves. They rank 9th in the league with a save percentage of 66.7%, and they have sent 532 bullpen pitchers to the hill over the course of the season. Atlanta has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the contest in 78 save opportunities and they have tallied 52 saves.

The Atlanta Braves have turned 134 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .986 (16th in pro baseball). The Braves have accrued 1,339 assists, 82 errors and have notched a total of 4,320 putouts this season. Out of their 12,960 innings played, the Braves have a efficiency on defense of 68.5% (22nd in pro baseball).

Fried (62-26 record in his career) is the owner of a 3.03 ERA while giving up 8.1 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.69 and he has faced 2,900 opposing hitters so far in his MLB career. He has conceded 239 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.163 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.3. In his pro baseball career, Fried has surrendered 637 base knocks while accumulating 697 strikeouts in 710 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Philadelphia (+145)

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