Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 10/7/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Saturday, October 7, 2023

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: TBS

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (+166) Atlanta (-198)

The Philadelphia Phillies (90-72) are en route to Truist Park on Saturday where they will compete against the Atlanta Braves (104-58) in Game 1 of the NLDS. The line on this matchup has Philadelphia at +166 and Atlanta is priced at -198. The total is 8.5. The pitchers expected to start will be Ranger Suarez and Spencer Strider.

As a unit, the Philadelphia Phillies are scoring 4.9 runs per game, which puts them at 8th in baseball. They have earned a total of 796 runs while holding a team OBP of .327. The Phillies have compiled 291 doubles as a squad and have smacked 220 balls out of the stadium. They have 771 RBI's and 1,417 base knocks on the campaign, while their average at the plate is sitting at .256. Philadelphia has a slugging % of .438 and have struck out 1,481 times, while being walked on 539 occasions.

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The Phillies hold a team ERA of 4.02 on the year (11th in the league), and the staff has rung up 1,454 batters. Phillies pitchers have given up 185 home runs and also 715 runs in total (12th in baseball). They have walked 470 hitters and their FIP is 4.00 as a team so far this year. Philadelphia has surrendered 1,317 base hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and 645 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 3.09 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.24.

The Phillies have dispatched 523 relief pitchers to the mound this season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 182 runners for the year and 34.1% of those players ended up crossing the plate. They have tallied 45 saves this year and have not converted 26 out of their 71 chances to save the game. The Phillies relievers have compiled a save rate of 63.4% and has come into the game in 158 save situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 87 holds so far this season (14th in baseball). Phillies pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 131 times in addition to having 181 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Philadelphia Phillies have earned 4,327 putouts on the year, as well as 1,385 assists and 92 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .984 which has them sitting 21st in baseball, and they have twisted 117 double plays. The Phillies have turned 69.5% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 12,981 innings, ranking them 13th in pro baseball.

Suarez has pitched in 454 innings and is sitting with 409 K's during his MLB career. His ERA is 3.41 (172 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.311. He has surrendered 434 base hits (8.6 hits per nine innings) and has had 161 walks. Suarez (29-21 career record) has earned a FIP of 3.72 while he has gone up against 1,920 batters in the majors.

Atlanta has tallied 307 home runs for the year to go along with 916 RBIs. They have recorded 293 doubles, while taking a walk 538 times and recording 947 runs. The Atlanta Braves have accumulated an on-base percentage of .344 as well as a batting average of .276 so far this year. The Braves hold a team slugging percentage of .501 and they score 5.85 runs per contest (1st in baseball). They have been called out on strikes on 1,289 instances (25th in the league) and have recorded 1,543 base knocks.

The Braves have a team WHIP of 1.302 and have a FIP of 4.10 as a pitching staff on the season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.50 (1,516 strikeouts against 534 free passes). They rank 16th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,341. They have conceded 187 home runs and they relinquish 4.48 runs per 9 innings (13th in the league). The Atlanta pitching staff have surrendered 716 runs for the season while holding a team ERA of 4.14 (662 earned runs conceded).

Atlanta has called on relievers to step onto the mound in 78 save chances and they have come away with 52 saves. They are ranked 9th in baseball with a save percentage of 66.7%, and they have sent 532 relievers to the mound so far this season. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 171 times in high leverage situations and on 129 occasions with runners on. Atlanta relievers have an inherited score percentage of 31.4% out of 188 inherited base runners. With 181 save situations, the Braves have earned 102 holds in addition to 26 blown saves.

In their 12,960 innings on the diamond, the Braves have earned a efficiency on defense of 68.5% (22nd in professional baseball). The Atlanta Braves have turned 134 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .986 (16th in the majors). The Braves have recorded 1,339 assists, 82 errors and have accounted for 4,320 putouts so far this year.

Thus far in his career, Strider has given up 234 hits while he has accumulated 483 punch outs in 320 innings. He has given up a total of 120 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.054 and a FIP of 2.5. His strikeout to walk ratio is 4.64 and he has faced 1,300 opposing hitters so far in his career. Strider (32-10 career win-loss mark) is the owner of a 3.37 earned run average while conceding 6.6 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Philadelphia (+166)

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