Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, 10/21/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Date: Saturday, October 21, 2023

Location: Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ

TV: TBS

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (+104) Arizona (-122)

The Philadelphia Phillies are hitting the road to Chase Field on Saturday where they will take on the Arizona Diamondbacks in Game 5 of their series. The moneyline on this contest has the Phillies at +104 while the Diamondbacks open at -122. The total comes in at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Zack Wheeler and Zac Gallen.

The Phillies have hit 291 doubles as a team and have hit 220 baseballs out of the stadium. Philadelphia has a slugging rate of .438 and have been rung up 1,481 times, while taking a walk on 539 occasions. As a team, the Philadelphia Phillies are compiling 4.9 runs/g, which has them at 8th in MLB. They have accrued 771 runs batted in in addition to 1,417 hits this year, while their average at the plate is sitting at .256. They have racked up 796 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .327.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 3.09 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.24. Phillies pitchers have surrendered 185 long balls and 715 runs in total (12th in MLB). Philadelphia has allowed 1,317 base hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and 645 earned runs. The Phillies hold a team ERA of 4.02 on the year (11th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 1,454 batters. They have walked 470 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.00 as a team for the season.

The Phillies have dispatched 523 relievers to the hill on the year. The relievers have inherited 182 base runners so far this year and 34.1% of those runners ended up scoring. They have recorded 45 saves for the year and have blown 26 out of their 71 chances to get a save. The Phillies bullpen have recorded a save percentage of 63.4% and has entered the game in 158 save situations. The relief pitchers have 87 holds so far this year (14th in MLB). Phillies relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on 131 times in addition to having 181 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Phillies have converted 69.5% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 12,981 innings on the diamond, ranking them 13th in baseball. The Philadelphia Phillies have accumulated 4,327 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 1,385 assists and 92 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .984 which puts them in 21st in the majors, and have accumulated 117 double plays.

Wheeler (87-63 record in his career) holds a FIP of 3.34 while going up against 5,714 batters in the majors. He has surrendered 1,229 hits (8.0 hits per 9 innings) and has had 405 walks. His ERA is 3.45 (528 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.185. Wheeler has taken the mound for 1,378 innings and is sitting with 1,401 punch outs in his MLB career.

Arizona has compiled 166 home runs over the course of the season to go along with 706 runs batted in. They have hit 274 two-baggers, while walking 540 times and putting up 746 runs. The Arizona Diamondbacks have an OBP of .322 and a batting average of .250 on the season. The Diamondbacks hold a team slugging percentage of .408 and they are earning 4.60 runs per outing (14th in the league). They have struck out on 1,247 instances (27th in baseball) and have 1,359 base hits.

The Diamondbacks have a team WHIP of 1.324 in addition to having a FIP of 4.36 as a squad for the season. Their K/BB ratio is 8.50 (1,351 strikeouts vs 525 free passes). They sit at 20th in baseball as a staff in total hits given up with 1,375. They have allowed 197 homers and they relinquish 4.77 runs per 9 innings (20th in the league). The Arizona pitching staff have surrendered 761 runs on the campaign and come in with a team ERA of 4.47 (713 earned runs surrendered).

With 149 save situations, the Diamondbacks have amassed 76 holds and also 27 blown saves. Arizona has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 71 save chances and they have come away with 44 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 154 times in high leverage situations and also on 166 occasions with runners on. Arizona relievers have an inherited score percentage of 30.2% out of their 235 inherited base runners. They are ranked 15th in baseball with a save rate of 62.0%, and they have dispatched 547 bullpen pitchers to the hill for the season.

In 12,918 innings on the field, the Diamondbacks hold a defensive efficiency of 69.5% (14th in MLB). The Arizona Diamondbacks have gotten 134 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .990 (1st in the majors). The Diamondbacks have 1,399 assists, 56 errors and have a total of 4,306 putouts for the season.

Gallen (39-31 career record) has earned a 3.21 ERA while giving up 7.2 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.57 and he has gone up against 2,708 batters in his MLB career. He has conceded 238 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.106 and a FIP of 3.5. So far in his MLB career, Gallen has allowed 534 hits while tallying 729 punch outs in 667 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Philadelphia (+104)

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