Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, 10/20/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Date: Friday, October 20, 2023

Location: Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ

TV: TBS

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (+104) Arizona (-122)

The Philadelphia Phillies are hitting the road to Chase Field on Friday where they will try to beat the Arizona Diamondbacks in Game 4 of the NLCS. The moneyline on this game has the Phillies at +104 while the Diamondbacks are at -122. The total has been set at 9. The pitchers taking the mound will be Taijuan Walker and Ryne Nelson.

As a unit, the Philadelphia Phillies are scoring 4.9 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 8th in baseball. They have 796 runs scored and have an OBP of .327. The Phillies have accounted for 291 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 220 balls out of the stadium. They have accrued 771 RBI's as well as 1,417 base knocks this year, while their average at the plate is at .256. Philadelphia owns a slugging percentage of .438 and have been called out on strikes 1,481 times, while taking a walk on 539 occasions.

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The Phillies have a team ERA of 4.02 so far this year (11th in the league), and their staff has rung up 1,454 batters. Phillies pitchers have conceded 185 home runs and also 715 total runs (12th in MLB). They have walked 470 hitters and their FIP is 4.00 as a unit on the season. Philadelphia has given up 1,317 base hits (8.2 per 9 innings) as well as 645 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 3.09 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.24.

The Phillies have dispatched 523 relievers to the hill for the year. The relief pitchers have inherited 182 runners for the year and 34.1% of those players crossed home plate. They have tallied 45 saves for the year and have not converted 26 of 71 save chances. The Phillies relievers have earned a save percentage of 63.4% and has entered the game in 158 save situations. The relievers have accumulated 87 holds so far this year (14th in the league). Phillies bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 131 times in addition to having 181 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Philadelphia Phillies have accounted for 4,327 putouts on the year, in addition to 1,385 assists and 92 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .984 which ranks 21st in professional baseball, and have a total of 117 double plays. The Phillies have converted 69.5% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 12,981 innings, which ranks them 13th in baseball.

Walker has taken the ball for 1,070 frames and has accounted for 944 punch outs in his pro baseball career. Walker (69-56 career win-loss record) has earned a FIP of 4.25 while he has faced 4,504 hitters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 3.97 (472 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.239. He has surrendered 972 hits (8.2 hits per 9 innings) and has had 355 walks.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have earned a team on-base percentage of .322 as well as a team batting average of .250 on the year. They have struck out on 1,247 occasions (27th in the league) and have recorded 1,359 hits. Arizona has 166 home runs on the campaign as well as 706 RBIs. The Diamondbacks hold a slugging % of .408 and they are earning 4.60 runs per contest (14th in MLB). They have put up 274 doubles, while taking a walk 540 times as well as scoring 746 runs.

The Arizona pitching staff have surrendered 761 runs this season while having a team ERA of 4.47 (713 earned runs allowed). They have yielded 197 dingers and they yield 4.77 runs per 9 innings (20th in baseball). The Diamondbacks hold a team WHIP of 1.324 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.36 as a squad for the year. Their K/BB ratio is 8.50 (1,351 strikeouts vs 525 walks). They are sitting at 20th in baseball as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,375.

Arizona has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 71 save opportunities and they have walked away with 44 saves. They sit at 15th in baseball with a save rate of 62.0%, and they have sent 547 bullpen pitchers to the hill so far this year. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 154 times in high leverage situations and on 166 occasions with base runners. Arizona relievers have an inherited score rate of 30.2% out of their 235 inherited base runners. Sitting with 149 save situations, the Diamondbacks have compiled 76 holds and also 27 blown saves.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have turned 134 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .990 (1st in MLB). The Diamondbacks have recorded 1,399 assists, 56 errors and have notched a total of 4,306 putouts for the season. In their 12,918 innings played, the Diamondbacks are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 69.5% (14th in MLB).

So far in his career, Nelson has allowed 168 hits and he has 112 strikeouts in 162 innings pitched. Nelson (9-9 career win-loss record) holds a 4.88 ERA and has given up 9.3 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 88 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.355 and a FIP of 4.9. His K/BB ratio is 2.15 and he has gone up against 688 batters in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Arizona (-122)

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