Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, 10/19/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Date: Thursday, October 19, 2023

Location: Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ

TV: TBS

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-108) Arizona (-112)

Chase Field is the location where the Arizona Diamondbacks will compete against the Philadelphia Phillies on Thursday in Game 3 of the NLCS. Philly leads the series 2-0. The moneyline on this game has Philadelphia at -108 while Arizona is sitting at -112. The total comes in at 9. The expected starting pitchers are Ranger Suarez and Brandon Pfaadt.

As a unit, the Philadelphia Phillies are notching 4.9 runs per game, which has them sitting at 8th in MLB. They have accounted for 796 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .327. The Phillies have tallied 291 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 220 balls out of the park. They have accounted for 771 RBI's in addition to 1,417 base knocks for the season, and their team batting average sits at .256. Philadelphia has a slugging rate of .438 and have been called out on strikes 1,481 times, while drawing a walk on 539 occasions.

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The Phillies have an earned run average of 4.02 so far this season (11th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 1,454 batters. Phillies pitchers have allowed 185 home runs and 715 total runs (12th in the league). They have walked 470 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 4.00 as a squad for the year. Philadelphia has yielded 1,317 hits (8.2 per 9 innings) in addition to 645 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.09 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.24.

Phillies relief pitchers have entered the game with players on base 131 times in addition to having 181 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have accumulated 87 holds this season (14th in the league). The Phillies relievers have a save percentage of 63.4% and stepped onto the hill in 158 save situations. They have earned 45 saves on the season and have blown 26 of their 71 chances to save the game. The relievers have inherited 182 runners on the year with 34.1% of them ended up scoring. The Phillies have dispatched 523 relievers to the mound so far this season.

The Philadelphia Phillies have accumulated 4,327 putouts on the year, as well as 1,385 assists and 92 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .984 which puts them in 21st in the majors, and they have twisted 117 double plays. The Phillies have turned 69.5% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 12,981 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 13th in MLB.

Suarez has taken the hill for 454 innings and has accounted for 409 strikeouts during his MLB career. Suarez (29-21 career win-loss mark) is the owner of a FIP of 3.72 and he has faced 1,920 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.41 (172 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.311. He has given up 434 base knocks (8.6 hits per 9 innings) with 161 walks.

Arizona has accounted for 166 home runs on the campaign as well as 706 RBIs. They have hit 274 doubles, while taking a walk 540 times as well as scoring 746 runs. The Arizona Diamondbacks have a team OBP of .322 in addition to a batting average of .250 so far this year. The Diamondbacks have a team slugging % of .408 and they have an average of 4.60 runs per contest (14th in MLB). They have been called out on strikes on 1,247 occasions (27th in baseball) and have tallied 1,359 hits.

The Arizona pitching staff have relinquished 761 runs on the campaign while holding an ERA of 4.47 (713 earned runs yielded). They have yielded 197 homers and they allow 4.77 runs per 9 innings (20th in baseball). The Diamondbacks are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.324 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.36 as a team over the course of the season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.50 (1,351 strikeouts vs 525 bases on balls). They rank 20th in MLB as a staff in total hits relinquished with 1,375.

Arizona relievers have an inherited score percentage of 30.2% out of 235 inherited base runners. Their relievers have come in 154 times in high leverage situations in addition to 166 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 149 save situations, the Diamondbacks have recorded 76 holds in addition to 27 blown saves. They rank 15th in MLB holding a save percentage of 62.0%, and they have dispatched 547 relief pitchers onto the field so far this year. Arizona has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 71 save opportunities and they have come away with 44 saves.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have turned 134 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .990 (1st in baseball). The Diamondbacks have accrued 1,399 assists, 56 errors and have accumulated 4,306 putouts this year. In 12,918 innings played, the Diamondbacks have a defensive efficiency of 69.5% (14th in the majors).

So far in his MLB career, Pfaadt has surrendered 109 hits while tallying 94 strikeouts in 96 frames. He has given up 61 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.406 and a FIP of 5.2. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.62 and he has faced 421 opposing hitters in his career. Pfaadt (3-9 win-loss record in his career) has earned a 5.72 earned run average and has allowed 10.2 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-108)

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