New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 9/28/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Thursday, September 28, 2023

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+150) Toronto (-180)

The New York Yankees (80-77) are on their way to Rogers Centre on Thursday where they will compete against the Toronto Blue Jays (87-70). The line on this contest has the Yankees at +150 while the Blue Jays are coming in at -180. The over/under comes in at 9. The men taking the mound are Luke Weaver and Chris Bassitt.

As a team, the New York Yankees are putting up 4.2 runs per game, which has them at 25th in baseball. They have 655 runs and have an OBP of .303. The Yankees have recorded 213 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 216 balls out of the stadium. They have accrued 632 runs batted in as well as 1,164 base knocks this year, while their batting average is at .226. New York has a slugging percentage of .399 and have been rung up 1,374 times, while being walked on 542 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.81 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.23. Yankees pitchers have surrendered 186 long balls and 673 runs in total (8th in MLB). New York has conceded 1,220 hits (7.9 per 9 innings) in addition to 612 earned runs. The Yankees are sitting with a team ERA of 3.94 on the season (8th in the league), and they have rung up 1,399 hitters. They have walked 498 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.23 as a squad so far this year.

The Yankees have sent 489 relievers to the mound this season. The relief pitchers have inherited 240 runners so far this season and 35.8% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. They have recorded 43 saves this year and have blown 19 of 62 save opportunities. The Yankees relief pitchers have a save rate of 69.4% and stepped onto the hill in 144 save situations. The relief pitchers have tallied 81 holds this year (17th in baseball). Yankees pitchers have come into the game with players on base 168 times as well as having 178 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Yankees have turned 70.7% of balls hit into play into outs out of 12,579 innings on the diamond, ranking them 3rd in professional baseball. The New York Yankees have 4,193 putouts on the year, in addition to 1,383 assists and 93 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .984 which is 23rd in pro baseball, and they have turned 110 double plays.

Weaver has thrown 570 innings and is sitting with 565 punch outs so far in his MLB career. His earned run average is 5.14 (326 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.436. He has surrendered 632 hits (10.0 hits per nine innings) and has 187 walks. Weaver (27-41 career record) has a FIP of 4.29 and he has faced 2,517 batters during his time in the major leagues.

Toronto has tallied 180 home runs on the campaign to go along with 679 RBIs. They have hit 282 doubles, while walking 536 times and earning 716 runs. The Toronto Blue Jays have recorded a team on-base percentage of .328 in addition to a batting average of .255 so far this season. The Blue Jays have a SLG% of .414 and they have an average of 4.56 runs per outing (16th in baseball). They have struck out on 1,264 instances (24th in the league) and have accounted for 1,373 base hits.

The Blue Jays have a WHIP of 1.242 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.06 as a team on the year. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 9.50 (1,478 strikeouts vs 472 bases on balls). They come in at 8th in MLB as a staff in total hits relinquished with 1,273. They have given up 191 long balls and they allow 4.11 runs per 9 innings (4th in baseball). The Toronto pitching staff have allowed 642 runs so far this season while having an ERA of 3.73 (582 earned runs surrendered).

Toronto has had relievers enter the game in 69 save chances and they have tallied 51 saves. They sit at 1st in the league with a save percentage of 73.9%, and they have sent 531 relievers to the hill on the campaign. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 189 times in high leverage situations and on 165 occasions with base runners. Toronto bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 22.6% of 235 inherited runners. With 175 save situations, the Blue Jays have tallied 106 holds in addition to 18 blown saves.

In 12,651 innings on the diamond, the Blue Jays have earned a efficiency on defense of 69.5% (12th in pro baseball). The Toronto Blue Jays have turned 121 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .987 (8th in baseball). The Blue Jays have accrued 1,262 assists, 70 errors and have a tally of 4,217 putouts over the course of the season.

Bassitt (61-42 career mark) has earned a 3.51 ERA while allowing 8.0 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.95 and he has gone up against 3,887 batters during his career. He has surrendered 363 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.195 and having a FIP of 3.9. In his pro baseball career, Bassitt has surrendered 825 base hits while he has totaled 845 strikeouts in 929 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (+150)

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