New York Yankees vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction, 7/1/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs St. Louis Cardinals

Date: Saturday, July 1, 2023

Location: Busch Stadium in St. Louis, MO

TV: Bally Sports Midwest

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+110) St. Louis (-130)

Busch Stadium is where the St. Louis Cardinals (33-47) will take on the New York Yankees (45-36) on Saturday. The odds on this game have the Yankees at +110 while the Cardinals are priced at -130. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers are Gerrit Cole and Jack Flaherty.

New York is slugging .410 and have been rung up 665 times, while taking a walk on 243 occasions. They have accumulated 348 RBI's and 616 base knocks so far this year, while their batting average is sitting at .231. The Yankees have hit 111 two-baggers as a team and have hit 116 balls out of the park. They have racked up 361 runs while holding a team OBP of .299. As a team, the New York Yankees are notching 4.5 runs per outing, which puts them at 16th in MLB.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.74 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.21. Yankees pitchers have allowed 87 home runs and 322 total runs (4th in MLB). New York has given up 617 base knocks (7.7 per 9 innings) and 291 earned runs. The Yankees are sitting with a team ERA of 3.62 so far this season (3rd in MLB), and their staff has struck out 709 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 259 hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.14 as a team this year.

Yankees bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 97 times in addition to having 99 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 42 holds on the season (17th in the league). The Yankees bullpen have accumulated a save rate of 70.6% and stepped onto the hill in 76 save situations. They have accumulated 24 saves on the season and have not converted 10 out of their 34 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 136 runners this season with 35.3% of them earned a run for their team. The Yankees have dispatched 256 relievers to the mound for the year.

The Yankees have turned 71.1% of baseballs in play into outs in their 6,516 innings on the field, which has them sitting 4th in the majors. The New York Yankees have a tally of 2,172 putouts on the campaign, as well as 713 assists and 48 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .984 which has them ranked 24th in baseball, and have a total of 56 double plays.

Cole has thrown 1,753 innings and has earned 2,043 strikeouts in his pro baseball career. Cole (138-72 career mark) is the owner of a FIP of 3.15 while he has gone up against 7,072 hitters in the majors. His ERA is 3.21 (625 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.102. He has allowed 1,478 base knocks (7.6 hits per nine innings) and has had 454 free passes.

St. Louis has tallied 109 home runs so far this year as well as 353 RBIs. They have put up 127 two-baggers, while taking a walk 271 times and recording 365 runs. The St. Louis Cardinals are sitting with an OBP of .324 and a batting average of .250 on the year. The Cardinals have a SLG% of .422 and they earn 4.56 runs per outing (12th in the league). They have struck out on 662 occasions (22nd in the league) and have a total of 681 hits.

The Cardinals have a WHIP of 1.465 and have a FIP of 4.23 as a unit on the campaign. They have a ranking of 28th in MLB as a staff in total hits relinquished with 758. The St. Louis pitching staff have given up 396 runs for the season while holding an ERA of 4.58 (359 earned runs relinquished). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.30 (652 strikeouts vs 275 walks). They have surrendered 81 long balls and they surrender 5.06 runs per 9 innings (26th in the league).

St. Louis has called on relievers to take the mound in 36 save chances and they have walked away with 20 saves. They are ranked 24th in MLB with a save percentage of 55.6%, and they have dispatched 242 relievers onto the diamond so far this year. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 91 times in high leverage situations and on 90 occasions with runners on. St. Louis relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 26.9% out of their 145 inherited runners. Sitting with 77 save situations, the Cardinals have 41 holds and 16 blown saves.

In 6,345 innings on the field, the Cardinals have earned a defensive efficiency of 66.2% (30th in MLB). The St. Louis Cardinals have gotten 71 double plays and have a fielding rate of .989 (3rd in pro baseball). The Cardinals have recorded 747 assists, 32 errors and have accumulated 2,115 putouts so far this year.

So far in his MLB career, Flaherty has surrendered 476 base knocks while accumulating 680 K's in 603 frames. He has allowed 242 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.173 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.0. His K/BB ratio is 2.93 and he has gone up against 2,497 opposing hitters so far in his career. Flaherty (38-30 record in his career) has a 3.61 earned run average while allowing 7.1 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take St. Louis (-130)

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