New York Yankees vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction, 6/30/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs St. Louis Cardinals

Date: Friday, June 30, 2023

Location: Busch Stadium in St. Louis, MO

TV: Bally Sports Midwest

The St. Louis Cardinals (33-46) will play the New York Yankees (44-36) at Busch Stadium on Friday. The pitchers who are expected to start are Luis Severino and Matthew Liberatore.

As a team, the New York Yankees are compiling 4.4 runs/g, which ranks them 18th in baseball. They are sitting with 351 runs scored while having a team OBP of .297. The Yankees have tallied 109 doubles as a squad and have hit 114 balls out of the park. They have earned 338 runs batted in and 603 base knocks this year, and their team batting average sits at .229. New York has a slugging percentage of .408 and have struck out 660 times, while being walked on 239 occasions.

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They have a K/BB ratio of 2.76 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.21. Yankees pitchers have conceded 87 home runs and 318 total runs (2nd in baseball). New York has surrendered 609 base hits (7.7 per 9 innings) as well as 287 earned runs. The Yankees have compiled a team ERA of 3.61 so far this year (1st in baseball), and the staff has rung up 703 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 255 batters and their FIP comes in at 4.15 as a team on the season.

The Yankees have dispatched 252 relievers to the mound this season. The relief pitchers have inherited 135 base runners on the year with 35.6% of them ended up scoring. They have earned 24 saves for the season and have not converted 10 of 34 save chances. The Yankees bullpen have accumulated a save rate of 70.6% and has entered the game in 76 save situations. The relief pitchers have earned 42 holds on the season (17th in baseball). Yankees bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 96 times and also have had 99 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Yankees have converted 71.1% of balls in play into outs in their 6,435 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 4th in the majors. The New York Yankees have notched a total of 2,145 putouts thus far, as well as 705 assists and 47 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .984 which has them sitting 22nd in MLB, and have accumulated 55 double plays.

Severino has taken the hill for 674 innings and has totaled 741 K's so far in his career. Severino (51-31 career win-loss record) sits with a FIP of 3.52 and he has gone up against 2,769 batters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.49 (261 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.141. He has given up 573 base hits (7.7 hits per 9 innings) and has had 196 free passes.

The St. Louis Cardinals have accounted for a team on-base percentage of .325 and a team batting average of .251 this season. They have struck out on 659 occasions (20th in baseball) and are sitting with 677 hits. St. Louis has a total of 109 long balls this season and 353 runs batted in. The Cardinals hold a slugging percentage of .425 and they tally 4.62 runs per contest (11th in baseball). They have hit 127 two-baggers, while taking a walk 269 times as well as scoring 365 runs.

The Cardinals hold a team WHIP of 1.447 and have a FIP of 4.19 as a staff so far this season. They have a ranking of 27th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 740. The St. Louis pitching staff have surrendered 382 runs on the season and come in with a team ERA of 4.46 (345 earned runs conceded). They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.30 (644 strikeouts against 267 bases on balls). They have given up 79 HR's and they surrender 4.94 runs per 9 innings (25th in the league).

Sitting with 77 save situations, the Cardinals have 41 holds in addition to 16 blown saves. St. Louis has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 36 save chances and they have walked away with 20 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 91 times in high leverage situations and on 88 occasions with runners on. St. Louis relievers hold an inherited score rate of 26.8% out of their 142 inherited runners. They rank 25th in baseball holding a save rate of 55.6%, and they have sent 238 relievers to the mound so far this year.

In 6,264 innings played, the Cardinals are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 66.4% (30th in MLB). The St. Louis Cardinals have turned 70 double plays and have a fielding rate of .989 (3rd in pro baseball). The Cardinals have 738 assists, 32 errors and have accounted for 2,088 putouts this season.

During his pro baseball career, Liberatore has allowed 73 hits while he has accumulated 49 punch outs in 62 innings. Liberatore (3-4 win-loss mark in his career) has a 5.81 earned run average and has allowed 10.6 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 40 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.694 and having a FIP of 4.9. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.53 and he has faced 292 batters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take St. Louis

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