New York Yankees vs Kansas City Royals Prediction, 9/30/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Kansas City Royals

Date: Saturday, September 30, 2023

Location: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, MO

TV: Bally Sports Kansas City

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-145) Kansas City (+120)

Kauffman Stadium is the site where the Kansas City Royals (54-105) will attempt to beat the New York Yankees (81-78) on Saturday. The line on this contest has the Yankees at -145 and the Royals are opening at +120. The betting total is set at 9. The expected starting pitchers are Clarke Schmidt and Jordan Lyles.

New York has a slugging % of .398 and have been called out on strikes 1,400 times, while being walked on 548 occasions. They have 638 runs batted in as well as 1,180 base knocks on the campaign, while their team batting average sits at .226. The Yankees have accounted for 215 doubles as a unit and have hit 218 balls out of the stadium. They have earned 661 runs scored while having a team OBP of .303. As a team, the New York Yankees are recording 4.2 runs per game, which is 24th in the league.

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They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.83 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.23. Yankees pitchers have surrendered 189 long balls in addition to 679 runs (9th in MLB). New York has conceded 1,235 base hits (7.9 per 9 innings) in addition to 618 earned runs. The Yankees are sitting with a team ERA of 3.93 over the course of the season (8th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 1,414 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 500 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 4.23 as a team this year.

The Yankees have dispatched 492 relievers to the mound over the course of the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 240 runners on the year and 35.8% of those players earned a run for their team. They have recorded 43 saves this season and have not converted 19 of their 62 chances to get a save. The Yankees bullpen have a save percentage of 69.4% and has stepped onto the mound in 144 save situations. The relievers have a total of 81 holds this season (18th in baseball). Yankees relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with players on base 168 times in addition to having 178 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Yankees have transformed 70.7% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 12,732 innings, which has them sitting 2nd in professional baseball. The New York Yankees have accumulated 4,244 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,397 assists and 93 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .984 which has them ranked 23rd in baseball, and have 111 double plays.

Schmidt has taken the ball for 225 innings and has accounted for 215 strikeouts so far in his MLB career. His ERA is 4.35 (109 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.349. He has given up 225 hits (9.0 hits per nine innings) and has 79 free passes. Schmidt (14-15 record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 4.25 while he has faced 982 batters during his time in the major leagues.

The Kansas City Royals have tallied a team on-base percentage of .301 and a batting average of .242 so far this year. They have struck out on 1,371 occasions (16th in MLB) and have earned a total of 1,287 base hits. Kansas City has hit 157 home runs for the season as well as 632 RBIs. The Royals have a SLG% of .394 and they average 4.13 runs per contest (25th in MLB). They have put up 254 two-baggers, while walking 403 times and racking up 657 runs.

The Royals have a team WHIP of 1.408 and have a FIP of 4.73 as a unit on the year. Their K/BB ratio is 8.10 (1,243 strikeouts vs 544 bases on balls). They come in at 25th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,402. They have conceded 206 long balls and they relinquish 5.52 runs per 9 innings (28th in MLB). The Kansas City pitching staff have given up 847 runs on the campaign while holding a team ERA of 5.19 (797 earned runs yielded).

Kansas City bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 36.6% out of their 191 inherited base runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 135 times in high leverage situations and on 118 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 117 save situations, the Royals have amassed 65 holds and 25 blown saves. They are currently ranked 27th in MLB holding a save rate of 51.9%, and they have sent 517 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond so far this season. Kansas City has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 52 save opportunities and they have earned 27 saves.

In 12,438 innings played, the Royals are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 68.5% (22nd in professional baseball). The Kansas City Royals have gotten 121 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .986 (14th in MLB). The Royals have recorded 1,365 assists, 79 errors and have a total of 4,146 putouts on the campaign.

In his MLB career, Lyles has given up 1,620 hits while earning 1,138 punch outs in 1,498 innings pitched. Lyles (71-107 career mark) has a 5.23 earned run average and has surrendered 9.7 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 871 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.409 and having a FIP of 4.8. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.32 and he has gone up against 6,544 opposing batters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Kansas City (+120)

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