New York Yankees vs Houston Astros Prediction, 9/1/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Houston Astros

Date: Friday, September 1, 2023

Location: Minute Maid Park in Houston, TX

TV: AT&T SportsNet Southwest

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+190) Houston (-230)

The New York Yankees (65-68) are on their way to Minute Maid Park on Friday where they will take on the Houston Astros (77-58). The moneyline on this game has New York at +190 while Houston is sitting at -230. The total has been set at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Carlos Rodon and Jose Urquidy.

The Yankees have tallied 168 two-baggers as a team and have hit 189 balls out of the park. New York has a slugging rate of .403 and have been called out on strikes 1,139 times, while taking a walk on 445 occasions. As a squad, the New York Yankees are notching 4.2 runs per contest, which puts them at 23rd in baseball. They have compiled 541 runs batted in as well as 993 hits so far this year, and their batting average comes in at .228. They have a total of 562 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .304.

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Their K/BB ratio is 2.76 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.23. Yankees pitchers have given up 166 home runs and also 576 runs (12th in the league). New York has yielded 1,029 base knocks (7.9 per 9 innings) as well as 524 earned runs. The Yankees have compiled a team earned run average of 4.00 this season (12th in the league), and the staff has rung up 1,176 batters. They have walked 426 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.37 as a unit on the season.

The Yankees have sent 415 relievers to the hill on the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 209 runners on the campaign and 36.4% of those runners earned a run for their team. They have accumulated 33 saves for the season and have not converted 17 out of their 50 save chances. The Yankees relief pitchers have a save percentage of 66.0% and stepped onto the hill in 118 save situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 67 holds this year (18th in baseball). Yankees bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 143 times in addition to having 145 appearances in high leverage situations.

The New York Yankees are sitting with 3,483 putouts on the year, as well as 1,156 assists and 76 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .984 which has them sitting 23rd in baseball, and they have turned 86 double plays. The Yankees have converted 70.9% of balls hit into play into outs in their 10,449 innings on the field, which has them ranked 2nd in pro baseball.

Rodon has taken the ball for 885 innings and has earned 980 strikeouts thus far in his career. Rodon (57-50 career mark) holds a FIP of 3.72 and he has faced 3,732 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.70 (364 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.246. He has conceded 764 base hits (7.8 hits per nine innings) with 339 walks.

The Astros hold a slugging % of .428 and they average 5.06 runs per contest (5th in the league). They have recorded 232 doubles, while getting a free base 464 times and notching 683 runs. Houston has 177 HRs this year to go along with 661 RBIs. They have struck out on 1,051 occasions (27th in baseball) and have a total of 1,195 base hits. The Houston Astros are sitting with an OBP of .330 in addition to a team batting average of .258 this season.

The Houston pitching staff have allowed 580 runs for the year while having an ERA of 3.92 (525 earned runs conceded). They have given up 163 long balls and they concede 4.33 runs per 9 innings (11th in baseball). The Astros are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.292 and have a FIP of 4.28 as a pitching staff so far this season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 9.10 (1,215 strikeouts against 445 free passes). They are sitting at 16th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,112.

Houston has had relief pitchers enter the game in 56 save chances and they have come away with 39 saves. They are ranked 6th in MLB holding a save percentage of 69.6%, and they have dispatched 427 bullpen pitchers onto the field so far this season. Their relievers have taken the field 134 times in high leverage situations in addition to 81 occasions with runners on base. Houston bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 31.8% of 132 inherited runners. With 131 save situations, the Astros have compiled 74 holds in addition to 17 blown saves.

The Houston Astros have turned 123 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .986 (14th in the majors). The Astros have 1,123 assists, 67 errors and have earned a total of 3,562 putouts so far this year. Out of their 10,686 innings played, the Astros hold a efficiency on defense of 69.1% (16th in baseball).

In his career, Urquidy has surrendered 354 hits while totaling 317 strikeouts in 388 innings pitched. He has surrendered a total of 169 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.142 and a FIP of 4.4. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.52 and he has gone up against 1,594 opposing batters so far in his MLB career. Urquidy (26-16 win-loss record in his career) holds a 3.91 earned run average while surrendering 8.2 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Houston (-230)

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