New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 9/11/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Monday, September 11, 2023

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+136) Boston (-162)

Fenway Park is where the Boston Red Sox (72-70) will take on the New York Yankees (70-72) on Monday. The moneyline on this contest has New York at +136 while Boston is at -162. The over/under is 9.5. The starting pitchers will be Clarke Schmidt and Kutter Crawford.

The Yankees have hit 181 doubles as a squad and have knocked 202 baseballs out of the park. New York has a slugging % of .402 and have struck out 1,217 times, while being walked on 480 occasions. As a unit, the New York Yankees are putting up 4.2 runs per game, which puts them at 24th in MLB. They have 577 RBI's and 1,052 base knocks on the season, and their average at the plate comes in at .227. They have 598 runs and hold an OBP of .303.

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The Yankees hold a team ERA of 4.03 this season (12th in the league), and they have struck out 1,263 hitters. Yankees pitchers have yielded 175 home runs and also 618 total runs (11th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 448 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 4.31 as a unit on the season. New York has allowed 1,113 base hits (7.9 per 9 innings) and 564 earned runs. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.82 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.24.

Yankees relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on 152 times as well as having 156 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have accumulated 74 holds on the campaign (16th in MLB). The Yankees relievers have earned a save rate of 67.3% and has entered the game in 127 save situations. They have accumulated 35 saves over the course of the season and have blown 17 of their 52 chances to save the game. The relievers have inherited 222 runners so far this season and 36.5% of them earned a run for their team. The Yankees have sent 447 relief pitchers to the mound for the season.

The Yankees have turned 70.6% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 11,346 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 4th in the majors. The New York Yankees have accounted for 3,782 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 1,250 assists and 82 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .984 which has them ranked 22nd in the majors, and they have turned 97 double plays.

Schmidt has thrown 239 innings and is sitting with 238 K's during his career. Schmidt (16-15 career mark) has a FIP of 4.71 and he has faced 1,048 hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.96 (132 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.437. He has conceded 255 base knocks (9.6 hits per 9 innings) and has had 89 free passes.

The Boston Red Sox have earned an OBP of .329 as well as a team batting average of .264 over the course of the season. They have been rung up on 1,173 occasions (20th in the league) and have totaled 1,294 base hits. Boston has accumulated 168 long balls on the year as well as 682 RBIs. The Red Sox have a SLG% of .437 and they average 5.01 runs per contest (8th in MLB). They have hit 310 doubles, while getting a free base 430 times as well as scoring 711 runs.

The Red Sox have a team WHIP of 1.363 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.51 as a pitching staff on the campaign. They sit at 26th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,275. The Boston pitching staff have surrendered 697 runs so far this year while holding a team ERA of 4.63 (646 earned runs yielded). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.80 (1,230 strikeouts against 435 free passes). They have relinquished 192 long balls and they give up 5.00 runs per 9 innings (22nd in MLB).

Boston relievers have an inherited score rate of 30.8% of 159 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 125 times in high leverage situations in addition to 104 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 115 save situations, the Red Sox have amassed 61 holds and 13 blown saves. They are ranked 1st in MLB with a save percentage of 75.5%, and they have dispatched 450 relievers onto the diamond on the year. Boston has called on relievers to enter the game in 53 save opportunities and they have tallied 40 saves.

Out of their 11,295 innings on the field, the Red Sox are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 67.3% (28th in baseball). The Boston Red Sox have turned 122 double plays and have a fielding rate of .981 (30th in baseball). The Red Sox have 1,270 assists, 96 errors and have earned a total of 3,765 putouts for the season.

Thus far in his career, Crawford has conceded 1,328 base hits while he has tallied 1,158 strikeouts in 1,428 innings pitched. Crawford (92-68 mark in his career) has earned a 3.48 ERA while giving up 8.4 hits per nine innings. He has surrendered a total of 552 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.150 and having a FIP of 3.8. His K/BB ratio is 3.69 and he has gone up against 5,854 hitters so far in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (+136)

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