New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 6/17/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Saturday, June 17, 2023

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+100) Boston (-120)

Fenway Park is the location where the Boston Red Sox (34-35) will try to beat the New York Yankees (39-30) on Saturday. The line on this matchup has the Yankees at +100 and the Red Sox are coming in at -120. The over/under comes in at 9.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Clarke Schmidt and Brayan Bello.

The Yankees have tallied 89 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 104 baseballs out of the park. New York owns a slugging percentage of .416 and have been called out on strikes 577 times, while drawing a walk on 209 occasions. As a squad, the New York Yankees are earning 4.6 runs per game, which has them sitting at 13th in baseball. They have accounted for 303 runs batted in as well as 530 base knocks on the campaign, while their average at the plate is at .232. They have accounted for 314 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .300.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.68 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.21. Yankees pitchers have allowed 77 home runs and 271 total runs (5th in baseball). New York has yielded 519 base hits (7.5 per 9 innings) and also 247 earned runs. The Yankees have an earned run average of 3.59 on the campaign (4th in the league), and the staff has struck out 614 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 229 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 4.22 as a squad this season.

The Yankees have sent 218 relief pitchers to the mound on the campaign. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 116 base runners on the campaign with 36.2% of them earned a run for their team. They have earned 20 saves on the campaign and have blown 10 out of their 30 save opportunities. The Yankees relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 66.7% and has entered the game in 67 save situations. The relief pitchers have notched 37 holds on the campaign (13th in MLB). Yankees bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 82 times in addition to having 86 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Yankees have converted 71.4% of balls in play into outs out of their 5,571 innings, ranking them 2nd in baseball. The New York Yankees have accounted for 1,857 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 606 assists and 40 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .984 which has them ranked 20th in baseball, and have a total of 54 double plays.

Schmidt has pitched in 137 innings and has totaled 139 punch outs in his MLB career. Schmidt (7-12 record in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.09 while he has gone up against 598 hitters in the majors. His earned run average is 4.19 (64 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.391. He has surrendered 139 base knocks (9.1 hits per nine innings) with 52 free passes.

The Boston Red Sox have earned an on-base percentage of .331 as well as a batting average of .259 on the campaign. They have struck out on 544 instances (25th in baseball) and have tallied 611 base knocks. Boston has hit 74 home runs over the course of the season to go along with 325 runs batted in. The Red Sox have a slugging percentage of .424 and they are earning 4.90 runs per game (7th in the league). They have put up 152 two-baggers, while taking a walk 232 times as well as earning 338 runs.

The Red Sox hold a team WHIP of 1.314 and have a FIP of 4.32 as a pitching staff so far this year. They are sitting at 23rd in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 594. The Boston pitching staff have allowed 337 runs over the course of the season while having an ERA of 4.54 (307 earned runs yielded). Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.70 (586 strikeouts against 206 free passes). They have given up 84 long balls and they concede 4.98 runs per 9 innings (23rd in the league).

Boston has had relievers enter the contest in 25 save chances and they have tallied 18 saves. They sit at 4th in the league holding a save rate of 72.0%, and they have sent 212 relievers to the hill for the season. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 58 times in high leverage situations in addition to 40 occasions with runners on. Boston bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 31.3% out of their 64 inherited base runners. Sitting with 58 save situations, the Red Sox have amassed 33 holds and 7 blown saves.

In their 5,481 innings played, the Red Sox are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 68.3% (20th in professional baseball). The Boston Red Sox have turned 53 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .980 (30th in the majors). The Red Sox have recorded 599 assists, 49 errors and have notched a total of 1,827 putouts during this campaign.

In his pro baseball career, Bello has conceded 128 hits while he has accumulated 104 K's in 109 innings pitched. Bello (5-12 career record) has a 4.27 earned run average while allowing 10.5 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 52 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.568 and having a FIP of 3.6. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.36 and he has faced 497 batters thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Boston (-120)

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