New York Mets vs Washington Nationals Prediction, 9/5/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Washington Nationals

Date: Tuesday, September 5, 2023

Location: Nationals Park in Washington, D.C.

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-125) Washington (+105)

Nationals Park is where the Washington Nationals (62-76) will take on the New York Mets (63-74) on Tuesday. The line on this matchup has the Mets at -125 while the Nationals are coming in at +105. The over/under is set at 9. The men taking the mound will be Jose Quintana and MacKenzie Gore.

The Mets have recorded 181 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 180 balls out of the park. New York has a slugging percentage of .405 and have been called out on strikes 1,106 times, while taking a walk on 458 occasions. As a team, the New York Mets are compiling 4.4 runs per game, which has them at 20th in baseball. They have amassed 580 runs batted in as well as 1,079 base knocks for the season, and their team batting average is sitting at .238. They have a total of 597 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .318.

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The Mets are sitting with a team ERA of 4.43 so far this season (18th in the league), and the staff has rung up 1,179 hitters. Mets pitchers have given up 170 home runs and 634 runs in total (18th in the league). They have walked 511 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 4.59 as a team on the year. New York has surrendered 1,135 hits (8.5 per 9 innings) in addition to 590 earned runs. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.31 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.37.

Mets relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 137 times in addition to having 130 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have notched 78 holds for the season (12th in the league). The Mets relief pitchers have a save rate of 65.2% and has stepped onto the mound in 129 save situations. They have recorded 30 saves this season and have not converted 16 out of their 46 chances to save the game. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 203 base runners for the year with 31.5% of them crossed home plate. The Mets have sent 454 relief pitchers to the hill on the season.

The New York Mets have amassed 3,595 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 1,185 assists and 73 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .985 which has them ranked 17th in professional baseball, and have earned 121 double plays. The Mets have transformed 68.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 10,785 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 17th in professional baseball.

Quintana (90-92 win-loss mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.61 and he has faced 7,415 hitters in the majors. He has given up 1,741 hits (8.8 hits per nine innings) with 524 walks. His earned run average is 3.74 (735 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.279. Quintana has pitched in 1,770 frames and is sitting with 1,567 punch outs thus far in his career.

Washington has compiled 127 home runs on the season and 564 RBIs. They have put up 239 doubles, while getting a free base 356 times and scoring 595 runs. The Washington Nationals have an OBP of .316 as well as a batting average of .257 for the season. The Nationals have a team slugging percentage of .397 and they score 4.31 runs per game (21st in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 974 occasions (30th in baseball) and have 1,207 base hits.

The Washington pitching staff have conceded 713 runs for the year and come in with a team ERA of 4.94 (667 earned runs conceded). They have conceded 210 home runs and they surrender 5.28 runs per 9 innings (27th in baseball). The Nationals hold a team WHIP of 1.451 in addition to having a FIP of 5.14 as a squad on the year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 7.70 (1,040 strikeouts against 493 bases on balls). They come in at 28th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,272.

Washington bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 35.4% out of their 195 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 141 times in high leverage situations and also on 123 occasions with base runners. With 132 save situations, the Nationals have earned 69 holds and also 24 blown saves. They are ranked 17th in baseball with a save rate of 61.9%, and they have dispatched 440 relievers onto the field this season. Washington has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 63 save opportunities and they have earned 39 saves.

In their 10,947 innings on the field, the Nationals have earned a efficiency on defense of 68.5% (21st in MLB). The Washington Nationals have turned 132 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .985 (19th in the majors). The Nationals have 1,284 assists, 77 errors and have a tally of 3,649 putouts so far this season.

Thus far in his career, Gore has given up 194 hits while accumulating 219 strikeouts in 202 innings pitched. He has allowed 98 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.414 and having a FIP of 4.5. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.38 and he has gone up against 873 opposing batters in his career. Gore (11-14 mark in his career) has earned a 4.36 earned run average and has allowed 8.6 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (-125)

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