New York Mets vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 7/9/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs San Diego Padres

Date: Sunday, July 9, 2023

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Bally Sports San Diego

The San Diego Padres (41-46) are hosting the New York Mets (41-46) at Petco Park on Sunday. The starting pitchers are Max Scherzer and Pedro Avila.

The Mets have tallied 116 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 112 balls out of the stadium. New York owns a slugging percentage of .408 and have struck out 676 times, while being walked on 290 occasions. As a team, the New York Mets are notching 4.5 runs per game, which puts them at 15th in the league. They have earned 384 runs batted in and 699 base knocks for the season, while their average at the plate sits at .242. They are sitting with 395 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .320.

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The Mets have an earned run average of 4.41 over the course of the season (19th in baseball), and they have struck out 745 hitters. Mets pitchers have conceded 115 home runs and also 394 total runs (17th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 315 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.73 as a squad on the season. New York has conceded 709 hits (8.4 per 9 innings) and also 371 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.37 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.35.

The Mets relievers have accumulated a save percentage of 66.7% and has come into the game in 90 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 119 base runners so far this year with 28.6% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. Mets relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 79 times in addition to having 81 appearances in high leverage situations. The Mets have dispatched 277 relief pitchers to the hill on the year. The bullpen have 56 holds so far this year (5th in MLB). They have recorded 22 saves for the season and have blown 11 of their 33 chances to save the game.

The Mets have turned 69.6% of balls in play into outs out of their 6,819 innings, which has them ranked 10th in baseball. The New York Mets have 2,273 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 764 assists and 42 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .986 which is 12th in baseball, and have earned 81 double plays.

Scherzer has thrown 2,764 innings and has 3,287 punch outs during his pro baseball career. His ERA is 3.14 (964 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.078. He has given up 2,259 base hits (7.4 hits per 9 innings) and has 721 walks. Scherzer (209-104 win-loss mark in his career) holds a FIP of 3.14 and he has gone up against 11,173 batters in the major leagues.

The Padres hold a team SLG% of .401 and they earn 4.45 runs per contest (18th in the league). They have 148 doubles, while walking 364 times and recording 387 runs. San Diego has 105 home runs on the season and 369 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 748 occasions (17th in MLB) and have recorded 673 base hits. The San Diego Padres have a team OBP of .325 in addition to a batting average of .235 so far this season.

The Padres hold a team WHIP of 1.249 and have a FIP of 4.21 as a squad for the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.70 (744 strikeouts vs 280 free passes). They are currently ranked 3rd in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 683. They have allowed 96 HR's and they concede 4.11 runs per 9 innings (5th in MLB). The San Diego pitching staff have allowed 352 runs for the year while holding a team ERA of 3.82 (327 earned runs relinquished).

With 89 save situations, the Padres have accumulated 50 holds in addition to 17 blown saves. San Diego has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 39 save opportunities and they have recorded 22 saves. Their relief pitchers have come in 88 times in high leverage situations and also on 63 occasions with runners on. San Diego bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 37.6% of 101 inherited base runners. They are currently ranked 22nd in MLB with a save percentage of 56.4%, and they have sent 272 relievers onto the diamond this season.

In 6,945 innings played, the Padres have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 70.6% (4th in the majors). The San Diego Padres have gotten 72 double plays and have a fielding rate of .989 (3rd in pro baseball). The Padres have accrued 781 assists, 34 errors and have 2,315 putouts so far this year.

So far in his pro baseball career, Avila has allowed 12 base hits while tallying 19 punch outs in 16 innings. Avila (0-1 career record) has earned a 2.20 earned run average while conceding 6.6 hits per nine innings. He has allowed a total of 4 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.163 and having a FIP of 4.3. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.71 and he has gone up against 72 batters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take San Diego

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