New York Mets vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 7/7/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs San Diego Padres

Date: Friday, July 7, 2023

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Bally Sports San Diego

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+115) San Diego (-135)

The New York Mets (40-46) are on their way to Petco Park on Friday where they will attempt to defeat the San Diego Padres (41-46). The moneyline on this contest has the Mets at +115 and the Padres are sitting at -135. The over/under is set at 8. The starting pitchers will be Justin Verlander and Yu Darvish.

The Mets have hit 114 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 109 balls out of the park. New York is slugging .403 and have struck out 669 times, while drawing a walk on 287 occasions. As a team, the New York Mets are scoring 4.5 runs per game, which has them at 16th in baseball. They have 375 runs batted in as well as 682 base knocks so far this year, and their average at the plate is .239. They have notched a total of 386 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .318.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.36 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.36. Mets pitchers have yielded 115 home runs and 394 runs in total (17th in MLB). New York has given up 705 base knocks (8.5 per 9 innings) in addition to 371 earned runs. The Mets are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.46 on the campaign (21st in MLB), and the staff has rung up 741 batters. They have walked 314 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.75 as a unit so far this year.

Mets bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 79 times and also have had 81 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have 56 holds on the year (5th in MLB). The Mets relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 66.7% and stepped onto the hill in 90 save situations. They have tallied 22 saves on the season and have blown 11 of 33 chances to get a save. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 119 runners this year and 28.6% of those players ended up crossing the plate. The Mets have dispatched 276 relievers to the hill over the course of the season.

The Mets have transformed 69.4% of baseballs in play into outs in their 6,738 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 12th in professional baseball. The New York Mets have a total of 2,246 putouts so far this season, in addition to 751 assists and 42 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .986 which has them sitting 14th in baseball, and they have twisted 80 double plays.

Verlander has taken the ball for 3,227 innings and has tallied 3,253 strikeouts during his career. Verlander (247-137 career record) sits with a FIP of 3.37 while facing 13,144 hitters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 3.25 (1,165 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.119. He has given up 2,714 hits (7.6 hits per 9 innings) and has had 896 free passes.

San Diego is sitting with 105 home runs so far this season to go along with 369 runs batted in. They have hit 148 two-baggers, while taking a walk 364 times as well as scoring 387 runs. The San Diego Padres have accounted for a team OBP of .325 and a batting average of .235 so far this year. The Padres have a team slugging % of .401 and they are recording 4.45 runs per outing (18th in the league). They have been rung up on 748 occasions (17th in baseball) and have totaled 673 hits.

The Padres hold a team WHIP of 1.249 with a FIP of 4.21 as a pitching staff this season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.70 (744 strikeouts vs 280 bases on balls). They rank 5th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 683. They have given up 96 home runs and they surrender 4.11 runs per 9 innings (6th in baseball). The San Diego pitching staff have surrendered 352 runs this season while having a team ERA of 3.82 (327 earned runs allowed).

Sitting with 89 save situations, the Padres have accumulated 50 holds and 17 blown saves. San Diego has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 39 save chances and they have tallied 22 saves. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 88 times in high leverage situations and also on 63 occasions with runners on. San Diego relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 37.6% out of 101 inherited base runners. They sit at 23rd in the league with a save rate of 56.4%, and they have sent 272 relievers to the hill this season.

The San Diego Padres have turned 72 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .989 (2nd in professional baseball). The Padres have recorded 781 assists, 34 errors and have a tally of 2,315 putouts so far this year. In their 6,945 innings on the field, the Padres hold a defensive efficiency of 70.6% (4th in the majors).

During his MLB career, Darvish has allowed 1,268 hits while totaling 1,873 strikeouts in 1,568 innings. He has given up a total of 622 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.130 and a FIP of 3.5. His K/BB ratio is 3.72 and he has faced 6,435 batters during his MLB career. Darvish (100-81 career win-loss record) has a 3.57 ERA while conceding 7.3 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (+115)

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