New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, 6/11/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Date: Sunday, June 11, 2023

Location: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: AT&T SportsNet Pittsburgh

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-120) Pittsburgh (+100)

The Pittsburgh Pirates (33-29) are hosting the New York Mets (30-34) at PNC Park on Sunday. The odds on this game have New York at -120 while Pittsburgh is at +100. The over/under is 8. The pitchers expected to start will be Carlos Carrasco and Mitch Keller.

New York has a slugging % of .398 and have been rung up 487 times, while drawing a walk on 220 occasions. They have 274 runs batted in and 514 base knocks on the year, while their average at the plate comes in at .242. The Mets have hit 83 doubles as a unit and have hit 77 balls out of the park. They are sitting with 284 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .320. As a team, the New York Mets are notching 4.4 runs per contest, which ranks them 17th in the league.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.35 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.39. Mets pitchers have surrendered 90 home runs and also 310 runs (24th in the league). New York has surrendered 544 base hits (8.8 per 9 innings) and 296 earned runs. The Mets have an earned run average of 4.80 for the year (26th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 533 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 227 opposing players and their FIP sits at 4.87 as a unit this year.

The Mets relief pitchers have recorded a save rate of 69.2% and has stepped onto the mound in 70 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 82 base runners so far this year with 25.6% of them ended up crossing the plate. Mets relief pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 57 times and also have had 60 appearances in high leverage situations. The Mets have sent 201 relievers to the mound on the campaign. The relievers have 44 holds so far this season (3rd in baseball). They have tallied 18 saves this year and have blown 8 of 26 chances to get a save.

The New York Mets are sitting with 1,664 putouts for the season, as well as 557 assists and 25 errors. Their fielding rate is at .989 which ranks 5th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 56 double plays. The Mets have turned 69.2% of balls hit into play into outs out of 4,992 innings on the field, which has them sitting 15th in MLB.

Carrasco (106-87 mark in his career) has a FIP of 3.56 while he has gone up against 6,156 hitters in the major leagues. He has allowed 1,421 base hits (8.6 hits per nine innings) and has had 395 walks. His earned run average is 3.92 (647 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.223. Carrasco has pitched in 1,484 innings and is sitting with 1,530 strikeouts in his pro baseball career.

The Pirates hold a team SLG% of .410 and they average 4.52 runs per contest (15th in baseball). They have put up 119 doubles, while walking 227 times and notching 280 runs. Pittsburgh has accounted for 59 HRs so far this season to go along with 266 RBIs. They have struck out on 514 instances (24th in the league) and have accounted for 514 hits. The Pittsburgh Pirates have a team OBP of .329 in addition to a batting average of .251 for the season.

The Pittsburgh pitching staff have relinquished 275 runs on the year while holding a team ERA of 4.09 (249 earned runs relinquished). They have relinquished 63 long balls and they concede 4.52 runs per 9 innings (16th in the league). The Pirates have a WHIP of 1.372 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.15 as a pitching staff on the year. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.60 (527 strikeouts against 219 bases on balls). They come in at 19th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 533.

With 58 save situations, the Pirates have accrued 32 holds and also 7 blown saves. Pittsburgh has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 25 save chances and they have come away with 18 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 55 times in high leverage situations and also on 49 occasions with runners on base. Pittsburgh relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 24.3% out of their 74 inherited runners. They are currently ranked 3rd in baseball with a save rate of 72.0%, and they have sent 190 bullpen pitchers to the mound over the course of the season.

Out of their 4,935 innings played, the Pirates have a efficiency on defense of 67.9% (23rd in pro baseball). The Pittsburgh Pirates have gotten 55 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .982 (27th in the majors). The Pirates have accrued 501 assists, 40 errors and have earned 1,645 putouts on the campaign.

Keller (19-31 career record) has earned a 4.73 earned run average and has surrendered 9.8 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.47 and he has faced 1,803 hitters in his MLB career. He has allowed 215 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.490 and a FIP of 3.9. During his pro baseball career, Keller has given up 446 base knocks while earning 405 punch outs in 409 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (+100)

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