New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 9/24/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Sunday, September 24, 2023

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+160) Philadelphia (-192)

The New York Mets (71-83) are en route to Citizens Bank Park on Sunday where they will try to defeat the Philadelphia Phillies (85-69). The odds on this game have New York at +160 and Philadelphia is priced at -192. The total comes in at 9. The pitchers taking the mound will be Jose Butto and Cristopher Sanchez.

As a team, the New York Mets are scoring 4.4 runs per game, which is 20th in baseball. They have earned a total of 680 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .318. The Mets have tallied 214 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 204 balls out of the park. They have accumulated 659 runs batted in in addition to 1,224 base knocks for the season, while their batting average comes in at .239. New York has a slugging rate of .409 and have been called out on strikes 1,252 times, while taking a walk on 507 occasions.

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The Mets are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.31 on the season (17th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 1,320 hitters. Mets pitchers have relinquished 182 home runs and also 695 total runs (18th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 571 hitters and their FIP is 4.51 as a squad on the campaign. New York has given up 1,267 base hits (8.5 per 9 innings) as well as 645 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.31 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.36.

The Mets have sent 505 relievers to the hill for the season. The relievers have inherited 227 base runners on the season and 31.7% of them ended up crossing the plate. They have earned 33 saves so far this season and have blown 18 out of their 51 save opportunities. The Mets bullpen have a save percentage of 64.7% and has come into the game in 137 save situations. The relievers have a total of 81 holds for the season (14th in MLB). Mets pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 151 times in addition to having 149 appearances in high leverage situations.

The New York Mets have 4,042 putouts this year, in addition to 1,334 assists and 83 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .985 which ranks 19th in baseball, and they have twisted 136 double plays. The Mets have converted 68.9% of balls in play into outs in their 12,126 innings, which ranks them 17th in MLB.

Butto (1-2 win-loss mark in his career) holds a FIP of 4.19 and he has gone up against 159 opposing hitters during his time in the majors. He has conceded 33 base knocks (8.3 hits per 9 innings) with 21 walks. His ERA is 4.50 (18 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.500. Butto has pitched in 36 innings and has totaled 34 punch outs in his pro baseball career.

Philadelphia has accumulated 209 long balls so far this year to go along with 732 runs batted in. They have hit 280 doubles, while walking 519 times and earning 756 runs. The Philadelphia Phillies have compiled a team OBP of .329 in addition to a team batting average of .257 so far this season. The Phillies have a SLG% of .439 and they are earning 4.91 runs per game (8th in the league). They have been rung up on 1,399 occasions (9th in MLB) and have notched a total of 1,355 base hits.

The Philadelphia pitching staff have conceded 681 runs this season while holding a team ERA of 4.04 (615 earned runs yielded). They have relinquished 177 home runs and they concede 4.47 runs per 9 innings (13th in baseball). The Phillies have a WHIP of 1.251 in addition to having a FIP of 4.04 as a squad on the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 9.00 (1,371 strikeouts vs 453 walks). They rank 10th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 1,262.

Sitting with 148 save situations, the Phillies have accrued 81 holds and also 25 blown saves. Philadelphia has called on relievers to take the mound in 67 save chances and they have earned 42 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 171 times in high leverage situations in addition to 126 occasions with runners on base. Philadelphia relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 34.8% out of their 178 inherited runners. They rank 16th in baseball with a save percentage of 62.7%, and they have sent 497 relievers to the hill over the course of the season.

The Philadelphia Phillies have gotten 110 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .984 (21st in MLB). The Phillies have racked up 1,319 assists, 87 errors and have earned 4,114 putouts so far this year. In 12,342 innings played, the Phillies are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 69.4% (13th in the majors).

So far in his MLB career, Sanchez has allowed 139 base hits while he has earned 133 K's in 144 innings pitched. He has conceded a total of 68 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.236 and having a FIP of 4.2. His K/BB ratio is 3.41 and he has gone up against 605 batters in his career. Sanchez (5-7 career mark) holds a 4.25 earned run average and has allowed 8.7 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (+160)

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