New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 9/23/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Saturday, September 23, 2023

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+160) Philadelphia (-192)

Citizens Bank Park is where the Philadelphia Phillies (84-69) will play the New York Mets (71-82) on Saturday. The line on this matchup has the Mets at +160 while the Phillies are sitting at -192. The over/under is set at 7.5. The starting pitchers will be Jose Quintana and Zack Wheeler.

The Mets have recorded 213 doubles as a squad and have hit 202 balls out of the park. New York has a slugging percentage of .409 and have been called out on strikes 1,244 times, while drawing a walk on 504 occasions. As a team, the New York Mets are notching 4.4 runs per outing, which is 20th in MLB. They have amassed 655 RBI's and 1,216 hits for the year, and their batting average comes in at .240. They have accumulated 676 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .318.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.31 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.36. Mets pitchers have given up 181 long balls and 690 runs in total (18th in baseball). New York has relinquished 1,258 base hits (8.5 per 9 innings) and also 642 earned runs. The Mets have an earned run average of 4.32 for the year (18th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 1,312 hitters. They have walked 567 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.51 as a unit on the campaign.

The Mets relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 64.7% and stepped onto the hill in 137 save situations. The relievers have inherited 227 base runners so far this year and 31.7% of those players earned a run for their team. Mets pitchers have come into the game with players on base 150 times as well as having 147 appearances in high leverage situations. The Mets have sent 501 relief pitchers to the mound this year. The bullpen have 81 holds on the campaign (14th in the league). They have earned 33 saves on the campaign and have blown 18 out of their 51 chances to get a save.

The Mets have converted 69.0% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 12,045 innings, which ranks them 17th in professional baseball. The New York Mets have a total of 4,015 putouts so far this season, in addition to 1,323 assists and 82 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .985 which has them ranked 18th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 136 double plays.

Quintana has taken the hill for 1,789 innings and has earned 1,577 punch outs during his pro baseball career. Quintana (92-92 career mark) sits with a FIP of 3.61 while he has gone up against 7,490 hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.72 (740 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.278. He has given up 1,758 base hits (8.8 hits per nine innings) and has 528 free passes.

Philadelphia has hit 208 home runs on the campaign and 727 runs batted in. They have recorded 278 two-baggers, while walking 515 times as well as putting up 751 runs. The Philadelphia Phillies have recorded an on-base percentage of .328 and a team batting average of .257 this season. The Phillies hold a team slugging percentage of .439 and they score 4.91 runs per contest (8th in baseball). They have been called out on strikes on 1,391 occasions (9th in baseball) and have accounted for 1,346 hits.

The Philadelphia pitching staff have given up 677 runs for the year while holding an ERA of 4.04 (611 earned runs surrendered). They have relinquished 175 homers and they concede 4.48 runs per 9 innings (13th in the league). The Phillies are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.252 with a FIP of 4.03 as a squad on the campaign. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 9.00 (1,363 strikeouts vs 450 walks). They are currently ranked 11th in baseball as a staff in total hits relinquished with 1,254.

Philadelphia relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 35.0% out of their 177 inherited base runners. Their relievers have come in 167 times in high leverage situations and on 124 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 144 save situations, the Phillies have tallied 78 holds in addition to 24 blown saves. They rank 15th in the league with a save rate of 63.6%, and they have dispatched 492 relievers to the mound for the year. Philadelphia has called on relievers to step onto the mound in 66 save chances and they have come away with 42 saves.

Out of their 12,252 innings played, the Phillies hold a defensive efficiency of 69.3% (15th in baseball). The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 110 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .984 (21st in baseball). The Phillies have accrued 1,312 assists, 87 errors and have a tally of 4,084 putouts during this campaign.

During his pro baseball career, Wheeler has given up 1,217 hits while he has totaled 1,390 K's in 1,367 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 524 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.184 and having a FIP of 3.4. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.45 and he has gone up against 5,667 opposing batters so far in his career. Wheeler (86-63 win-loss mark in his career) holds a 3.45 earned run average and has allowed 8.0 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-192) and under 7.5 runs

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