New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 9/22/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Friday, September 22, 2023

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+140) Philadelphia (-166)

The New York Mets (71-81) are en route to Citizens Bank Park on Friday where they will compete against the Philadelphia Phillies (83-69). The moneyline on this game has the Mets at +140 while the Phillies are priced at -166. The betting total comes in at 9. The pitchers taking the mound are Tylor Megill and Taijuan Walker.

As a team, the New York Mets are scoring 4.4 runs per game, which ranks them 20th in MLB. They have racked up 672 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .319. The Mets have compiled 211 doubles as a squad and have hit 201 baseballs out of the park. They have accounted for 651 RBI's and 1,208 base knocks for the year, and their batting average is .240. New York has a slugging % of .409 and have struck out 1,234 times, while taking a walk on 502 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.31 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.36. Mets pitchers have relinquished 179 home runs and 685 runs in total (18th in baseball). New York has conceded 1,251 hits (8.5 per 9 innings) and also 637 earned runs. The Mets have compiled a team earned run average of 4.31 on the campaign (17th in the league), and the staff has struck out 1,299 hitters. They have walked 563 hitters and their FIP is 4.50 as a team on the campaign.

The Mets relievers have earned a save rate of 64.7% and has stepped onto the mound in 137 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 225 base runners on the year with 32.0% of those runners crossed the plate. Mets relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 149 times and also have had 146 appearances in high leverage situations. The Mets have dispatched 499 relief pitchers to the mound this season. The relievers have earned 81 holds on the season (13th in MLB). They have 33 saves this season and have blown 18 of their 51 save chances.

The Mets have transformed 69.0% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 11,973 innings on the field, ranking them 17th in MLB. The New York Mets have notched a total of 3,991 putouts thus far, in addition to 1,317 assists and 82 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .985 which has them ranked 19th in the majors, and have a total of 136 double plays.

Megill has pitched in 250 frames and has totaled 242 K's so far in his career. Megill (16-16 career win-loss mark) sits with a FIP of 4.74 while facing 1,094 opposing hitters during his time in the majors. His ERA is 4.82 (134 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.444. He has given up 266 hits (9.6 hits per 9 innings) and has 95 free passes.

The Phillies hold a slugging % of .439 and they are recording 4.91 runs per outing (8th in baseball). They have put up 278 doubles, while walking 511 times and scoring 746 runs. Philadelphia has compiled 206 home runs for the season as well as 722 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 1,378 occasions (9th in the league) and have earned 1,339 base hits. The Philadelphia Phillies have an OBP of .328 and a team batting average of .257 over the course of the season.

The Philadelphia pitching staff have relinquished 673 runs on the season while holding a team ERA of 4.04 (607 earned runs surrendered). They have relinquished 174 long balls and they relinquish 4.48 runs per 9 innings (13th in MLB). The Phillies hold a team WHIP of 1.253 in addition to having a FIP of 4.03 as a pitching staff over the course of the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 9.00 (1,353 strikeouts against 448 walks). They are currently ranked 10th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 1,246.

With 141 save situations, the Phillies have tallied 76 holds in addition to 24 blown saves. Philadelphia has had relief pitchers take the mound in 65 save opportunities and they have earned 41 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 164 times in high leverage situations and also on 123 occasions with runners on base. Philadelphia relievers have an inherited score percentage of 35.2% of 176 inherited runners. They rank 16th in baseball with a save percentage of 63.1%, and they have sent 489 relievers onto the diamond for the season.

The Philadelphia Phillies have gotten 110 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .984 (21st in MLB). The Phillies have racked up 1,306 assists, 86 errors and have earned a total of 4,057 putouts for the season. In 12,171 innings on the diamond, the Phillies have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 69.3% (15th in pro baseball).

So far in his MLB career, Walker has surrendered 963 base hits while he has tallied 937 punch outs in 1,057 innings. He has conceded 466 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.241 and a FIP of 4.3. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.68 and he has gone up against 4,451 opposing hitters so far in his pro baseball career. Walker (69-55 career mark) has a 3.97 earned run average while allowing 8.2 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (+140)

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