New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 6/23/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Friday, June 23, 2023

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-125) Philadelphia (+105)

Citizens Bank Park is the site where the Philadelphia Phillies (38-35) will attempt to beat the New York Mets (34-40) on Friday. The moneyline on this contest has New York at -125 and Philadelphia is priced at +105. The total is set at 9.5. The starting pitchers will be Kodai Senga and Taijuan Walker.

The Mets have hit 102 doubles as a unit and have knocked 88 balls out of the stadium. New York has a slugging % of .398 and have struck out 577 times, while being walked on 253 occasions. As a unit, the New York Mets are notching 4.6 runs per game, which ranks them 13th in the league. They have amassed 327 RBI's in addition to 593 hits so far this season, while their team batting average is at .241. They have notched a total of 337 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .321.

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The Mets have compiled a team earned run average of 4.68 this year (26th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 618 hitters. Mets pitchers have allowed 104 home runs in addition to 352 total runs (21st in baseball). They have walked 259 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 4.84 as a team this season. New York has allowed 616 base hits (8.6 per 9 innings) as well as 334 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.39 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.36.

Mets relief pitchers have come into the game with players on base 68 times and also have had 70 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have accumulated 45 holds over the course of the season (7th in the league). The Mets relievers have earned a save rate of 69.2% and has come into the game in 72 save situations. They have compiled 18 saves this year and have not converted 8 of their 26 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 95 runners on the season with 26.3% of those players ended up scoring. The Mets have sent 233 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign.

The New York Mets are sitting with 1,928 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 643 assists and 35 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .987 which puts them in 12th in pro baseball, and have a total of 67 double plays. The Mets have converted 69.6% of balls in play into outs out of 5,784 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 11th in pro baseball.

Senga has pitched in 71 innings and has 87 strikeouts thus far in his career. Senga (6-4 career mark) is the owner of a FIP of 4.24 while he has faced 307 batters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.53 (28 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.332. He has conceded 54 hits (6.8 hits per 9 innings) and has 41 free passes.

The Philadelphia Phillies are sitting with an OBP of .322 as well as a team batting average of .259 for the year. They have been rung up on 670 occasions (8th in baseball) and have notched a total of 650 base knocks. Philadelphia has accounted for 78 home runs this season as well as 307 RBIs. The Phillies hold a team slugging % of .419 and they have an average of 4.41 runs per contest (17th in baseball). They have hit 137 two-baggers, while taking a walk 224 times and scoring 322 runs.

The Philadelphia pitching staff have conceded 337 runs so far this year and come in with a team ERA of 4.32 (308 earned runs conceded). They have relinquished 77 homers and they yield 4.73 runs per 9 innings (17th in the league). The Phillies hold a team WHIP of 1.274 and have a FIP of 3.92 as a unit for the year. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 9.30 (663 strikeouts vs 220 bases on balls). They have a ranking of 9th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 597.

With 66 save situations, the Phillies have tallied 37 holds and also 8 blown saves. Philadelphia has called on relief pitchers to enter the contest in 29 save opportunities and they have walked away with 21 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 74 times in high leverage situations and also on 60 occasions with runners on. Philadelphia bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 37.6% out of 93 inherited runners. They are currently ranked 5th in baseball with a save percentage of 72.4%, and they have sent 245 relievers to the hill on the season.

The Philadelphia Phillies have gotten 39 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .987 (10th in MLB). The Phillies have accrued 603 assists, 34 errors and have 1,924 putouts this year. In their 5,772 innings on the field, the Phillies have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 68.8% (17th in baseball).

So far in his pro baseball career, Walker has given up 885 hits while he has earned 872 punch outs in 975 innings. Walker (61-53 career mark) has earned a 3.92 ERA while giving up 8.2 hits per nine innings. He has conceded 425 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.230 and having a FIP of 4.2. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.77 and he has gone up against 4,092 batters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Philadelphia (+105) and under 9.5 runs

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