New York Mets vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, 9/10/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Minnesota Twins

Date: Sunday, September 10, 2023

Location: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN

TV: Bally Sports North

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+140) Minnesota (-166)

Target Field is the location where the Minnesota Twins (75-67) will attempt to beat the New York Mets (64-77) on Sunday. The moneyline on this game has the Mets at +140 while the Twins are priced at -166. The over/under comes in at 9. The pitchers taking the mound will be Tylor Megill and Pablo Lopez.

The Mets have hit 186 doubles as a unit and have hit 185 balls out of the park. New York has a slugging % of .406 and have been called out on strikes 1,128 times, while drawing a walk on 466 occasions. As a squad, the New York Mets are putting up 4.4 runs per outing, which ranks them 20th in MLB. They have 595 RBI's and 1,102 hits for the season, and their batting average is .238. They have accumulated 612 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .318.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.30 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.37. Mets pitchers have allowed 171 long balls in addition to 647 total runs (18th in baseball). New York has surrendered 1,159 hits (8.5 per 9 innings) as well as 603 earned runs. The Mets are sitting with a team ERA of 4.44 on the season (18th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 1,200 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 522 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.57 as a team on the season.

The Mets bullpen have a save percentage of 63.8% and stepped onto the hill in 130 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 209 base runners for the year and 33.0% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. Mets bullpen pitchers have come into the game with players on base 140 times as well as having 134 appearances in high leverage situations. The Mets have sent 463 relief pitchers to the mound for the year. The relievers have recorded 78 holds on the season (12th in the league). They have tallied 30 saves on the season and have blown 17 of their 47 save opportunities.

The Mets have converted 68.9% of balls hit into play into outs in their 11,013 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 17th in the majors. The New York Mets have earned a total of 3,671 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 1,211 assists and 75 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .985 which has them ranked 17th in professional baseball, and they have turned 124 double plays.

Megill has thrown 239 innings and is sitting with 238 strikeouts during his MLB career. Megill (16-15 career win-loss record) has a FIP of 4.71 while going up against 1,048 batters during his time in the majors. His ERA is 4.96 (132 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.437. He has surrendered 255 base hits (9.6 hits per 9 innings) and has had 89 walks.

The Minnesota Twins hold a team OBP of .322 as well as a team batting average of .242 so far this year. They have struck out on 1,445 occasions (1st in MLB) and have earned a total of 1,155 base knocks. Minnesota has compiled 200 home runs so far this year as well as 629 RBIs. The Twins have a team SLG% of .425 and they tally 4.65 runs per game (14th in the league). They have put up 236 doubles, while walking 499 times as well as scoring 656 runs.

The Twins have a team WHIP of 1.208 and have a FIP of 3.97 as a staff over the course of the season. They are currently ranked 7th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,130. The Minnesota pitching staff have surrendered 584 runs so far this year while holding a team ERA of 3.93 (552 earned runs given up). Their strikeout to walk ratio is 9.40 (1,318 strikeouts against 396 walks). They have conceded 168 dingers and they yield 4.16 runs per 9 innings (5th in baseball).

Minnesota has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 60 save opportunities and they have tallied 33 saves. They are ranked 23rd in MLB holding a save rate of 55.0%, and they have sent 425 relief pitchers onto the diamond for the season. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 165 times in high leverage situations and on 108 occasions with runners on base. Minnesota bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 29.7% out of 145 inherited base runners. Sitting with 135 save situations, the Twins have compiled 73 holds and also 27 blown saves.

In their 11,367 innings played, the Twins have a defensive efficiency of 69.9% (8th in baseball). The Minnesota Twins have turned 105 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .988 (6th in professional baseball). The Twins have accrued 1,114 assists, 61 errors and have a tally of 3,789 putouts so far this year.

So far in his pro baseball career, Lopez has allowed 619 base hits and he has 688 K's in 680 innings pitched. Lopez (38-38 win-loss record in his career) holds a 3.86 ERA and has conceded 8.2 hits per nine innings. He has allowed a total of 292 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.186 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.7. His K/BB ratio is 3.66 and he has gone up against 2,818 hitters in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Minnesota (-166)

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