New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 9/20/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Miami Marlins

Date: Wednesday, September 20, 2023

Location: loanDepot park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

The Miami Marlins (78-73) will compete against the New York Mets (70-80) at loanDepot park on Wednesday. The men taking the mound are Kodai Senga and Eury Perez.

New York has a slugging percentage of .407 and have been rung up 1,219 times, while drawing a walk on 498 occasions. They have tallied 642 runs batted in as well as 1,187 base knocks so far this year, while their batting average sits at .239. The Mets have tallied 206 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 197 balls out of the park. They are sitting with 661 runs and hold an OBP of .319. As a team, the New York Mets are knocking in 4.4 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 20th in the league.

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They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.31 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.36. Mets pitchers have allowed 178 home runs and 678 runs (18th in baseball). New York has conceded 1,233 hits (8.5 per 9 innings) as well as 631 earned runs. The Mets are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.33 so far this year (18th in the league), and their staff has struck out 1,284 batters. They have walked 556 opposing players and their FIP is 4.51 as a unit for the year.

The Mets relievers have accumulated a save percentage of 64.7% and has come into the game in 137 save situations. The relievers have inherited 221 base runners on the campaign with 32.1% of them ended up crossing the plate. Mets bullpen pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 147 times in addition to having 145 appearances in high leverage situations. The Mets have dispatched 493 relief pitchers to the mound for the season. The relievers have a total of 81 holds for the season (13th in the league). They have 33 saves on the season and have blown 18 of 51 save opportunities.

The Mets have turned 69.0% of baseballs in play into outs in their 11,814 innings, which has them sitting 17th in the majors. The New York Mets have earned a total of 3,938 putouts so far this season, as well as 1,294 assists and 81 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .985 which has them ranked 19th in MLB, and have earned 133 double plays.

Senga has taken the mound for 155 innings and has 191 punch outs during his career. His ERA is 2.95 (51 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.210. He has allowed 116 hits (6.7 hits per 9 innings) with 72 walks. Senga (11-7 career win-loss record) has a FIP of 3.46 while he has gone up against 648 hitters during his time in the majors.

The Marlins have a team slugging % of .406 and they average 4.17 runs per contest (25th in MLB). They have put up 242 two-baggers, while taking a walk 391 times and putting up 630 runs. Miami is sitting with 157 home runs so far this season to go along with 600 RBIs. They have been rung up on 1,197 occasions (25th in MLB) and have 1,327 base knocks. The Miami Marlins have accounted for an on-base percentage of .314 in addition to a batting average of .258 this year.

The Marlins hold a team WHIP of 1.284 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.13 as a staff for the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 9.30 (1,389 strikeouts vs 480 walks). They sit at 15th in MLB as a staff in total hits relinquished with 1,240. They have surrendered 178 dingers and they surrender 4.49 runs per 9 innings (15th in MLB). The Miami pitching staff have relinquished 668 runs on the campaign while holding a team ERA of 4.18 (622 earned runs relinquished).

Miami has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 66 save chances and they have recorded 39 saves. They rank 22nd in the league with a save rate of 59.1%, and they have dispatched 501 relief pitchers onto the field over the course of the season. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 191 times in high leverage situations and on 148 occasions with runners on. Miami bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 28.6% out of their 210 inherited base runners. With 153 save situations, the Marlins have accumulated 86 holds and also 27 blown saves.

In 12,054 innings on the diamond, the Marlins have earned a efficiency on defense of 68.5% (20th in MLB). The Miami Marlins have gotten 139 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .983 (24th in the majors). The Marlins have recorded 1,324 assists, 90 errors and are sitting with 4,018 putouts this year.

In his MLB career, Perez has surrendered 69 hits while he has tallied 106 strikeouts in 88 innings pitched. Perez (5-5 career win-loss mark) has a 3.06 ERA and has conceded 7.0 hits per nine innings. He has surrendered a total of 30 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.098 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.9. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.79 and he has faced 359 opposing hitters during his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York

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