New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 9/19/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Miami Marlins

Date: Tuesday, September 19, 2023

Location: loanDepot park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+124) Miami (-148)

The New York Mets (69-80) are traveling to loanDepot park on Tuesday where they will take on the Miami Marlins (78-72). The odds on this game have New York at +124 and Miami opens at -148. The total has been set at 8. The expected starting pitchers are Joey Lucchesi and Braxton Garrett.

The Mets have recorded 206 doubles as a unit and have hit 196 baseballs out of the park. New York has a slugging % of .408 and have struck out 1,209 times, while being walked on 496 occasions. As a squad, the New York Mets are compiling 4.4 runs per game, which has them sitting at 20th in the league. They have 640 runs batted in as well as 1,179 base knocks on the year, and their average at the plate is sitting at .239. They have 659 runs and have an on-base percentage of .319.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.30 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.37. Mets pitchers have given up 178 home runs and 677 runs (18th in the league). New York has allowed 1,228 base knocks (8.5 per 9 innings) and 630 earned runs. The Mets have a team earned run average of 4.35 for the year (19th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 1,275 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 555 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 4.53 as a team for the year.

The Mets relievers have a save percentage of 64.0% and has entered the game in 136 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 221 runners this season and 32.1% of those players earned a run for their team. Mets relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on 147 times in addition to having 142 appearances in high leverage situations. The Mets have sent 490 relief pitchers to the hill for the year. The relief pitchers have accumulated 81 holds on the campaign (13th in MLB). They have compiled 32 saves for the season and have blown 18 of 50 save opportunities.

The Mets have transformed 69.0% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 11,733 innings on the field, ranking them 17th in pro baseball. The New York Mets have a total of 3,911 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 1,286 assists and 81 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .985 which has them sitting 19th in the majors, and have a total of 132 double plays.

Lucchesi has taken the ball for 372 innings and has tallied 373 strikeouts so far in his MLB career. His earned run average is 4.11 (170 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.267. He has given up 347 base hits (8.4 hits per 9 innings) and has had 125 free passes. Lucchesi (22-24 record in his career) holds a FIP of 4.16 while he has gone up against 1,567 hitters in the majors.

The Marlins hold a slugging % of .407 and they have an average of 4.19 runs per contest (24th in the league). They have hit 242 doubles, while taking a walk 390 times and notching 629 runs. Miami has recorded 157 home runs this year to go along with 600 runs batted in. They have struck out on 1,188 instances (25th in MLB) and have accounted for 1,322 base knocks. The Miami Marlins have earned an OBP of .315 and a team batting average of .259 over the course of the season.

The Marlins have a team WHIP of 1.286 and have a FIP of 4.14 as a unit over the course of the season. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 9.30 (1,379 strikeouts against 478 free passes). They are sitting at 16th in baseball as a staff in total hits relinquished with 1,232. They have given up 177 homers and they relinquish 4.51 runs per 9 innings (16th in MLB). The Miami pitching staff have conceded 666 runs for the season and come in with a team ERA of 4.20 (620 earned runs yielded).

Miami relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 28.7% out of their 209 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 188 times in high leverage situations in addition to 147 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 153 save situations, the Marlins have 86 holds and also 27 blown saves. They rank 22nd in baseball with a save rate of 59.1%, and they have dispatched 498 relief pitchers to the mound on the season. Miami has called on relief pitchers to step onto the mound in 66 save opportunities and they have come away with 39 saves.

In their 11,973 innings on the field, the Marlins are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 68.5% (21st in baseball). The Miami Marlins have turned 138 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .984 (24th in MLB). The Marlins have 1,313 assists, 88 errors and have a tally of 3,991 putouts over the course of the season.

So far in his MLB career, Garrett has conceded 282 hits while earning 277 punch outs in 279 innings. He has surrendered a total of 120 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.282 and a FIP of 3.8. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.64 and he has gone up against 1,185 opposing hitters during his pro baseball career. Garrett (14-16 career win-loss record) has a 3.87 ERA while surrendering 9.1 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (+124)

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