New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 9/18/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Miami Marlins

Date: Monday, September 18, 2023

Location: loanDepot park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+130) Miami (-161)

The Miami Marlins (77-72) will try to beat the New York Mets (68-80) at loanDepot park on Monday. The moneyline on this contest has New York at +130 while Miami is at -161. The total is set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Jose Butto and Edward Cabrera.

As a squad, the New York Mets are compiling 4.4 runs per outing, which puts them at 20th in baseball. They have accounted for 651 runs and hold an OBP of .318. The Mets have hit 203 doubles as a squad and have hit 196 baseballs out of the park. They have amassed 633 RBI's and 1,166 base knocks on the year, while their batting average sits at .238. New York is slugging .408 and have been called out on strikes 1,204 times, while drawing a walk on 493 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.30 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.37. Mets pitchers have conceded 176 home runs and 673 runs (18th in the league). New York has conceded 1,219 hits (8.5 per 9 innings) and also 626 earned runs. The Mets have compiled a team ERA of 4.35 so far this season (19th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 1,272 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 553 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 4.52 as a squad on the campaign.

The Mets have dispatched 487 relievers to the mound for the year. The relief pitchers have inherited 219 runners for the year with 32.4% of them crossed home plate. They have earned 32 saves so far this season and have blown 18 of their 50 chances to save the game. The Mets relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 64.0% and has entered the game in 135 save situations. The relief pitchers have recorded 80 holds so far this season (14th in baseball). Mets pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 146 times in addition to having 141 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Mets have turned 68.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 11,652 innings, which has them sitting at 17th in the majors. The New York Mets are sitting with 3,884 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 1,275 assists and 81 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .985 which ranks 20th in the majors, and have a total of 131 double plays.

Butto (1-2 career mark) holds a FIP of 4.67 and he has gone up against 137 opposing batters in the majors. He has surrendered 29 base hits (8.7 hits per 9 innings) and has had 20 walks. His earned run average is 5.10 (17 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.633. Butto has taken the mound for 30 innings and has racked up 28 K's so far in his pro baseball career.

The Marlins have a team slugging percentage of .404 and they have an average of 4.11 runs per contest (27th in the league). They have hit 239 doubles, while taking a walk 381 times and scoring 613 runs. Miami has accounted for 153 home runs for the year to go along with 584 runs batted in. They have struck out on 1,183 instances (25th in MLB) and have accounted for 1,305 hits. The Miami Marlins have recorded an on-base percentage of .313 as well as a team batting average of .258 on the season.

The Miami pitching staff have relinquished 664 runs so far this season while holding a team ERA of 4.21 (618 earned runs relinquished). They have given up 176 homers and they yield 4.52 runs per 9 innings (17th in MLB). The Marlins have a WHIP of 1.286 with a FIP of 4.14 as a pitching staff on the campaign. Their K/BB ratio is 9.30 (1,368 strikeouts against 476 walks). They have a ranking of 16th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,223.

Miami bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 28.7% out of 209 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 188 times in high leverage situations and also on 147 occasions with runners on. With 153 save situations, the Marlins have amassed 86 holds and also 27 blown saves. They are ranked 22nd in the league with a save rate of 59.1%, and they have sent 495 bullpen pitchers to the hill for the year. Miami has had relievers step onto the hill in 66 save opportunities and they have walked away with 39 saves.

The Miami Marlins have turned 138 double plays and have a fielding rate of .984 (24th in pro baseball). The Marlins have recorded 1,303 assists, 88 errors and are sitting with 3,964 putouts for the year. In their 11,892 innings on the diamond, the Marlins have a defensive efficiency of 68.5% (20th in MLB).

In his MLB career, Cabrera has conceded 131 hits while totaling 209 punch outs in 183 innings. He has allowed a total of 84 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.323 and having a FIP of 4.9. His strikeout to walk ratio is 1.87 and he has faced 784 hitters in his pro baseball career. Cabrera (12-14 career mark) has earned a 4.12 earned run average and has surrendered 6.4 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (+130)

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