New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 4/2/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Miami Marlins

Date: Sunday, April 2, 2023

Location: loanDepot park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

The Miami Marlins (69-93 last season) will compete against the New York Mets (101-61 last year) at loanDepot park on Sunday. The expected starting pitchers will be Carlos Carrasco and Trevor Rogers.

New York had a slugging percentage of .412 and were rung up 1,217 times, while taking a walk on 510 occasions. They accounted for 735 runs batted in and 1,422 hits in the previous season, while their team batting average was .259. The Mets hit 272 two-baggers as a unit and hit 171 balls out of the park. They earned 772 runs while holding a team OBP of .332. As a unit, the New York Mets earned 4.8 runs per game, which had them sitting at 5th in baseball.

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Mets pitchers surrendered 169 home runs in addition to 606 total runs (4th in the league). Their pitching staff walked 428 opposing players and their FIP was 3.51 as a team during the previous year. Their strikeout to walk ratio was at 3.66 and their pitching staff had a collective WHIP of 1.18. The Mets had an ERA of 3.57 for the prior year (7th in the league), and their staff struck out 1,565 batters.

The Mets relief pitchers earned a save percentage of 73.2% and entered the game in 135 save situations. The relief pitchers inherited 189 base runners for the prior year and 37.0% of those runners crossed home plate. Mets relief pitchers stepped onto the hill with runners on 138 times as well as having 125 outings in high leverage situations. The Mets sent 483 relievers to the hill last season. The bullpen notched 77 holds in the previous season (20th in MLB). They compiled 41 saves last year and blew 15 of their 56 save chances.

The Mets turned 69.2% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 12,948 innings on the diamond, which had them sitting at 19th in baseball. The New York Mets earned 4,316 putouts over the course of last year, as well as 1,359 assists and 67 errors. Their fielding percentage was at .988 which was 2nd in baseball, and had a total of 128 double plays.

Carrasco has taken the ball for 1,448 innings and has accounted for 1,507 punch outs so far in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 3.87 (623 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.219. He has given up 1,385 base knocks (8.6 hits per 9 innings) and has 380 free passes. Carrasco (104-85 record in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.49 while he has gone up against 5,997 batters in the major leagues.

The Miami Marlins recorded an OBP of .294 in addition to a batting average of .230 during the previous year. They were rung up on 1,429 occasions (9th in baseball) and had 1,241 base knocks. Miami had a total of 144 home runs over the course of last year to go along with 554 RBIs. The Marlins held a team SLG% of .363 and they tallied 3.62 runs per game (28th in the league). They notched 248 doubles, while taking a walk 436 times and notching 586 runs.

The Marlins held a team WHIP of 1.268 and were the owners of a FIP of 3.90 as a pitching staff in the previous season. They ranked 12th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 1,311. The Miami pitching staff given up 676 runs over the course of last year while holding a team ERA of 3.86 (617 earned runs surrendered). Their strikeout to walk ratio sat at 2.81 (1,437 strikeouts against 511 free passes). They conceded 173 HR's and they relinquished 4.23 runs per 9 innings (12th in MLB).

With 150 save situations, the Marlins recorded 75 holds and 31 blown saves. Miami called on relievers to take the mound in 72 save opportunities and they came away with 41 saves. Their relief pitchers took the field 169 times in high leverage situations in addition to 136 occasions with base runners. Miami relief pitchers had an inherited score percentage of 37.4% of 198 inherited runners. They ranked 25th in the league with a save percentage of 56.9%, and they sent 532 relief pitchers onto the field last season.

In 12,936 innings on the diamond, the Marlins earned a defensive efficiency of 69.4% (17th in baseball). Miami Marlins twisted 143 double plays and held a fielding percentage of .988 (3rd in MLB). The Marlins recorded 1,460 assists, 69 errors and accounted for 4,312 putouts over the course of last season.

So far in his MLB career, Rogers has allowed 255 base hits while he has totaled 302 K's in 268 innings pitched. Rogers (12-21 career win-loss mark) has earned a 4.13 ERA while surrendering 8.6 hits per 9 innings. He has conceded 123 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.340 and a FIP of 3.5. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.90 and he has gone up against 1,157 opposing hitters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York

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