New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 4/1/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Miami Marlins

Date: Saturday, April 1, 2023

Location: loanDepot park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-130) Miami (+110)

loanDepot park is the site where the Miami Marlins (69-93 last season) will take on the New York Mets (101-61 last year) on Saturday. The line on this contest has the Mets at -130 and the Marlins are sitting at +110. The betting total comes in at 9. The pitchers expected to start will be Justin Verlander and Edward Cabrera.

New York had a slugging percentage of .412 and were called out on strikes 1,217 times, while taking a walk on 510 occasions. They had 735 RBI's and 1,422 base knocks over the course of last year, while their team batting average came in at .259. The Mets recorded 272 two-baggers as a team and knocked 171 baseballs out of the park. They earned 772 runs while holding a team OBP of .332. As a unit, the New York Mets put up 4.8 runs per game, which put them at 5th in baseball.

Get all of our MLB Picks Today

The Mets finished with a team earned run average of 3.57 over the course of last season (7th in baseball), and the staff struck out 1,565 hitters. Their pitching staff walked 428 hitters and their FIP was 3.51 as a team in the previous season. Their strikeout to walk ratio was 3.66 and the pitching staff had a collective WHIP of 1.18. Mets pitchers surrendered 169 home runs and also 606 runs in total (4th in baseball).

The Mets had dispatched 483 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of the prior season. The bullpen inherited 189 runners in the prior season and 37.0% of those runners ended up scoring. They earned 41 saves over the course of the prior season and blew 15 out of their 56 save chances. The Mets relievers earned a save rate of 73.2% and stepped onto the mound in 135 save situations. The bullpen tallied 77 holds last year (20th in MLB). Mets relief pitchers stepped onto the hill with runners on base 138 times as well as having 125 outings in high leverage situations.

The Mets turned 69.2% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 12,948 innings on the field, which had them sitting 19th in baseball. The New York Mets earned 4,316 putouts for the previous season, in addition to 1,359 assists and 67 errors. Their fielding percentage was at .988 which ranked 2nd in the majors, and had a total of 128 double plays.

Verlander has taken the mound for 3,163 innings and has 3,198 punch outs in his career. His earned run average is 3.24 (1,139 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.117. He has given up 2,654 base hits (7.6 hits per nine innings) and has had 880 free passes. Verlander (244-133 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 3.36 and he has gone up against 12,880 batters during his time in the major leagues.

Miami compiled 144 home runs during the previous year to go along with 554 runs batted in. They recorded 248 two-baggers, while taking a walk 436 times and recording 586 runs. The Miami Marlins tallied a team OBP of .294 as well as a team batting average of .230 in the previous season. The Marlins held a team slugging percentage of .363 and they were recording 3.62 runs per contest (28th in baseball). They were rung up on 1,429 occasions (9th in baseball) and earned a total of 1,241 base hits.

The Marlins finished with a team WHIP of 1.268 and had a FIP of 3.90 as a squad for the previous season. They earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.81 (1,437 strikeouts against 511 bases on balls). They finished at 12th in MLB as a staff in total hits relinquished with 1,311. They gave up 173 dingers and they surrendered 4.23 runs per 9 innings (12th in the league). The Miami pitching staff yielded 676 runs over the course of last season while holding an ERA of 3.86 (617 earned runs relinquished).

Miami bullpen pitchers held an inherited score percentage of 37.4% out of their 198 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers came in 169 times in high leverage situations and on 136 occasions with runners on. Wrapping up the year with 150 save situations, the Marlins had 75 holds in addition to 31 blown saves. They ranked 25th in MLB with a save percentage of 56.9%, and they dispatched 532 relief pitchers to the mound last year. Miami called on relievers to take the mound in 72 save chances and they earned 41 saves.

Out of their 12,936 innings played, the Marlins had a defensive efficiency of 69.4% (17th in the majors). Miami Marlins turned 143 double plays and notched a fielding percentage of .988 (3rd in professional baseball). The Marlins racked up 1,460 assists, 69 errors and earned a total of 4,312 putouts for the previous season.

Cabrera (6-7 career record) has earned a 3.77 ERA and has given up 6.2 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 1.98 and he has gone up against 411 hitters during his career. He has allowed a total of 41 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.224 and having a FIP of 5.1. During his pro baseball career, Cabrera has allowed 68 hits while accumulating 103 punch outs in 98 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (-130)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here