New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 3/30/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Miami Marlins

Date: Thursday, March 30, 2023

Location: loanDepot park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-132) Miami (+110)

The New York Mets (101-61 last year) are headed to loanDepot park on Thursday where they will attempt to beat the Miami Marlins (69-93 last season). The moneyline on this contest has the Mets at -132 while the Marlins are at +110. The over/under is 6.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Max Scherzer and Sandy Alcantara.

The Mets tallied 272 doubles as a unit and knocked 171 balls out of the park. New York had a slugging percentage of .412 and struck out 1,217 times, while drawing a walk on 510 occasions. As a unit, the New York Mets put up 4.8 runs per game, which was 5th in the league. They compiled 735 RBI's in addition to 1,422 hits during the previous year, and their average at the plate came in at .259. They tallied 772 runs scored while having a team OBP of .332.

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The Mets compiled a team ERA of 3.57 in the prior season (7th in the league), and the staff struck out 1,565 hitters. They walked 428 batters and their FIP finished at 3.51 as a squad in the prior season. They earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.66 and the pitching staff held a WHIP of 1.18. Mets pitchers gave up 169 home runs and 606 total runs (4th in the league).

Mets relief pitchers stepped onto the hill with runners on 138 times and also had 125 outings in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers notched 77 holds for the prior year (20th in the league). The Mets relievers compiled a save rate of 73.2% and stepped onto the hill in 135 save situations. They recorded 41 saves over the course of the prior season and blew 15 of their 56 save chances. The relief pitchers inherited 189 base runners for the previous season and 37.0% of them crossed home plate. The Mets dispatched 483 relief pitchers to the mound for the prior year.

The Mets converted 69.2% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 12,948 innings, which had them sitting at 19th in professional baseball. The New York Mets accumulated 4,316 putouts during the previous year, as well as 1,359 assists and 67 errors. Their fielding percentage was at .988 which put them in 2nd in pro baseball, and had a total of 128 double plays.

Scherzer (201-102 record in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.10 while facing 10,831 opposing batters in the major leagues. He has surrendered 2,180 base hits (7.3 hits per nine innings) and has had 701 free passes. His earned run average is 3.11 (927 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.074. Scherzer has taken the mound for 2,682 innings and has racked up 3,193 strikeouts during his MLB career.

The Miami Marlins tallied a team OBP of .294 in addition to a team batting average of .230 during the previous year. They were rung up on 1,429 occasions (9th in MLB) and tallied 1,241 hits. Miami compiled 144 home runs over the course of last year to go along with 554 RBIs. The Marlins held a slugging % of .363 and they were recording 3.62 runs per contest (28th in the league). They notched 248 two-baggers, while getting a free base 436 times as well as putting up 586 runs.

The Miami pitching staff yielded 676 runs for the previous season while having a team ERA of 3.86 (617 earned runs given up). They relinquished 173 dingers and they surrender 4.23 runs per 9 innings (12th in MLB). The Marlins had a team WHIP of 1.268 and were the owners of a FIP of 3.90 as a squad last year. They earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.81 (1,437 strikeouts vs 511 free passes). They were sitting at 12th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 1,311.

Miami relief pitchers had an inherited score percentage of 37.4% of 198 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers came in 169 times in high leverage situations and also on 136 occasions with runners on. Wrapping up the year with 150 save situations, the Marlins amassed 75 holds in addition to 31 blown saves. They were sitting at 25th in the league holding a save percentage of 56.9%, and they dispatched 532 relievers onto the field last year. Miami called on relievers to step onto the mound in 72 save chances and they converted 41 saves.

In 12,936 innings played, the Marlins held a efficiency on defense of 69.4% (17th in baseball). Miami Marlins turned 143 double plays and held a fielding percentage of .988 (3rd in the majors). The Marlins recorded 1,460 assists, 69 errors and accumulated 4,312 putouts for the prior year.

So far in his MLB career, Alcantara has surrendered 593 hits while he has totaled 638 strikeouts in 716 innings pitched. Alcantara (34-43 mark in his career) has earned a 3.10 earned run average while giving up 7.5 hits per nine innings. He has allowed a total of 247 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.142 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.7. His K/BB ratio is 2.84 and he has faced 2,918 hitters during his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami (+110)

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