New York Mets vs Houston Astros Prediction, 6/21/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Houston Astros

Date: Wednesday, June 21, 2023

Location: Minute Maid Park in Houston, TX

TV: AT&T SportsNet Southwest

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+115) Houston (-135)

The New York Mets (34-38) are en route to Minute Maid Park on Wednesday where they will take on the Houston Astros (39-34). The line on this contest has the Mets at +115 while the Astros are sitting at -135. The total is 8.5. The expected starting pitchers are Tylor Megill and Cristian Javier.

As a squad, the New York Mets are notching 4.5 runs per game, which ranks them 12th in the league. They are sitting with 327 runs scored and have an OBP of .321. The Mets have recorded 98 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 87 balls out of the park. They have accrued 317 runs batted in and 579 base knocks over the course of the season, and their team batting average sits at .242. New York has a slugging rate of .400 and have been called out on strikes 553 times, while taking a walk on 243 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.43 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.35. Mets pitchers have yielded 101 home runs and 338 runs (18th in baseball). New York has surrendered 598 base hits (8.6 per 9 innings) and also 322 earned runs. The Mets hold a team ERA of 4.62 this season (24th in the league), and they have struck out 605 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 249 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.82 as a unit on the campaign.

The Mets relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 69.2% and has entered the game in 72 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 92 runners so far this year and 25.0% of them ended up scoring. Mets relief pitchers have entered the game with players on base 66 times in addition to having 70 appearances in high leverage situations. The Mets have sent 228 relievers to the hill so far this year. The relief pitchers have earned 45 holds for the season (6th in MLB). They have recorded 18 saves over the course of the season and have blown 8 out of their 26 chances to get a save.

The Mets have turned 69.6% of balls hit into play into outs out of 5,640 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 11th in baseball. The New York Mets have accumulated 1,880 putouts this season, as well as 624 assists and 33 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .987 which has them sitting 8th in MLB, and have earned 65 double plays.

Megill (14-12 win-loss record in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.60 while going up against 891 hitters during his time in the major leagues. He has conceded 210 base hits (9.2 hits per nine innings) and has had 75 walks. His earned run average is 4.76 (109 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.383. Megill has taken the hill for 206 innings and has tallied 206 K's during his career.

The Houston Astros have recorded a team on-base percentage of .314 as well as a team batting average of .245 for the season. They have been rung up on 586 occasions (23rd in MLB) and have totaled 602 base knocks. Houston has 82 home runs on the campaign as well as 307 runs batted in. The Astros hold a team slugging % of .398 and they earn 4.41 runs per game (17th in the league). They have hit 123 doubles, while walking 226 times and racking up 322 runs.

The Astros are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.255 with a FIP of 3.91 as a squad over the course of the season. They come in at 13th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 597. The Houston pitching staff have conceded 284 runs over the course of the season while having an ERA of 3.47 (252 earned runs surrendered). Their K/BB ratio sits at 9.30 (676 strikeouts against 224 bases on balls). They have conceded 77 long balls and they give up 3.91 runs per 9 innings (2nd in the league).

Houston has called on relief pitchers to step onto the mound in 26 save chances and they have walked away with 17 saves. They sit at 12th in MLB with a save rate of 65.4%, and they have sent 223 relievers to the hill so far this year. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 61 times in high leverage situations in addition to 40 occasions with runners on. Houston bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 28.6% of 63 inherited runners. Sitting with 62 save situations, the Astros have 35 holds in addition to 9 blown saves.

In 5,886 innings played, the Astros have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 68.7% (18th in professional baseball). The Houston Astros have gotten 68 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .987 (12th in pro baseball). The Astros have recorded 623 assists, 35 errors and have a tally of 1,962 putouts on the season.

During his career, Javier has allowed 257 base knocks while totaling 454 K's in 385 innings pitched. He has conceded 129 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.036 and having a FIP of 3.8. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.20 and he has gone up against 1,543 opposing batters during his career. Javier (27-13 career record) has earned a 3.02 ERA and has given up 6.0 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Houston (-135)

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