New York Mets vs Houston Astros Prediction, 6/20/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Houston Astros

Date: Tuesday, June 20, 2023

Location: Minute Maid Park in Houston, TX

TV: AT&T SportsNet Southwest

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+125) Houston (-145)

The New York Mets (33-38) are hitting the road to Minute Maid Park on Tuesday where they will try to defeat the Houston Astros (39-33). The moneyline on this matchup has the Mets at +125 while the Astros are sitting at -145. The total comes in at 8. The pitchers taking the mound are Justin Verlander and Framber Valdez.

As a unit, the New York Mets are scoring 4.5 runs per game, which puts them at 16th in MLB. They have earned 316 runs and have an OBP of .319. The Mets have accounted for 95 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 85 balls out of the park. They have compiled 306 RBI's as well as 565 base knocks this season, and their batting average comes in at .240. New York is slugging .397 and have struck out 542 times, while drawing a walk on 240 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.42 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.36. Mets pitchers have allowed 100 home runs in addition to 337 total runs (18th in the league). New York has yielded 593 base knocks (8.6 per 9 innings) in addition to 321 earned runs. The Mets hold a team ERA of 4.68 on the campaign (26th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 597 batters. They have walked 247 batters and their FIP is 4.83 as a team for the year.

Mets pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 66 times in addition to having 70 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have racked up 45 holds for the season (6th in the league). The Mets bullpen have compiled a save rate of 69.2% and has stepped onto the mound in 72 save situations. They have compiled 18 saves for the season and have blown 8 of their 26 chances to save the game. The relievers have inherited 92 base runners on the year and 25.0% of those players earned a run for their team. The Mets have sent 227 relief pitchers to the mound for the year.

The Mets have transformed 69.5% of baseballs in play into outs out of 5,559 innings on the field, which has them sitting 11th in professional baseball. The New York Mets have notched a total of 1,853 putouts this year, in addition to 614 assists and 33 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .987 which has them ranked 11th in the majors, and they have twisted 63 double plays.

Verlander (246-136 career mark) has a FIP of 3.37 and he has gone up against 13,066 hitters during his time in the major leagues. He has allowed 2,696 hits (7.6 hits per 9 innings) with 893 free passes. His earned run average is 3.26 (1,161 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.119. Verlander has thrown 3,208 innings and has tallied 3,237 strikeouts so far in his career.

The Houston Astros have recorded a team on-base percentage of .315 and a team batting average of .245 on the year. They have been called out on strikes on 578 occasions (24th in baseball) and have accounted for 597 base hits. Houston has tallied 81 home runs on the season as well as 306 RBIs. The Astros have a team slugging % of .400 and they are recording 4.46 runs per contest (15th in baseball). They have put up 123 doubles, while taking a walk 224 times and notching 321 runs.

The Astros hold a team WHIP of 1.245 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.90 as a staff so far this year. They are sitting at 10th in baseball as a staff in total hits conceded with 582. The Houston pitching staff have yielded 273 runs this season while holding a team ERA of 3.33 (239 earned runs relinquished). They currently have a K/BB ratio of 9.30 (665 strikeouts against 221 bases on balls). They have given up 75 dingers and they surrender 3.81 runs per 9 innings (2nd in MLB).

Houston has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 26 save chances and they have earned 17 saves. They rank 12th in the league holding a save rate of 65.4%, and they have sent 221 relief pitchers to the mound this year. Their relief pitchers have come in 61 times in high leverage situations in addition to 39 occasions with runners on. Houston relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 29.0% of 62 inherited runners. Sitting with 62 save situations, the Astros have compiled 35 holds in addition to 9 blown saves.

The Houston Astros have gotten 68 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .987 (8th in pro baseball). The Astros have 615 assists, 33 errors and have amassed 1,935 putouts over the course of the season. In 5,805 innings played, the Astros are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 69.0% (16th in pro baseball).

During his MLB career, Valdez has given up 509 hits while he has totaled 592 K's in 605 innings. He has conceded a total of 216 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.219 and a FIP of 3.5. His K/BB ratio is 2.59 and he has faced 2,532 batters during his career. Valdez (47-28 career record) has earned a 3.21 ERA and has given up 7.6 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Houston (-145)

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