New York Mets vs Houston Astros Prediction, 6/19/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Houston Astros

Date: Monday, June 19, 2023

Location: Minute Maid Park in Houston, TX

TV: AT&T SportsNet Southwest

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+110) Houston (-130)

The Houston Astros (39-32) host the New York Mets (33-37) at Minute Maid Park on Monday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Mets at +110 while the Astros are coming in at -130. The total has been set at 7.5. The men taking the mound are Max Scherzer and Hunter Brown.

New York has a slugging rate of .396 and have been called out on strikes 537 times, while being walked on 235 occasions. They have accrued 299 RBI's and 559 hits over the course of the season, while their team batting average is sitting at .241. The Mets have tallied 94 doubles as a squad and have hit 83 baseballs out of the stadium. They have earned a total of 309 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .319. As a unit, the New York Mets are scoring 4.4 runs per game, which has them at 17th in MLB.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.45 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.36. Mets pitchers have conceded 96 long balls in addition to 329 runs in total (17th in the league). New York has allowed 585 base knocks (8.7 per 9 innings) and also 314 earned runs. The Mets have an earned run average of 4.64 on the season (25th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 589 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 240 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.75 as a squad for the year.

The Mets have dispatched 222 relief pitchers to the hill so far this season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 90 base runners so far this season and 25.6% of those runners crossed home plate. They have tallied 18 saves for the year and have blown 8 out of their 26 save chances. The Mets bullpen have compiled a save rate of 69.2% and has come into the game in 72 save situations. The relievers have a total of 45 holds for the year (6th in MLB). Mets relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 64 times in addition to having 67 appearances in high leverage situations.

The New York Mets are sitting with 1,826 putouts thus far, as well as 607 assists and 31 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .987 which has them ranked 9th in the majors, and they have twisted 61 double plays. The Mets have transformed 69.4% of balls hit into play into outs in their 5,478 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 13th in pro baseball.

Scherzer (206-104 mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.13 while facing 11,068 hitters in the major leagues. He has given up 2,236 base knocks (7.3 hits per nine innings) with 715 free passes. His earned run average is 3.14 (955 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.078. Scherzer has pitched in 2,738 frames and has racked up 3,253 strikeouts during his pro baseball career.

Houston has recorded 80 long balls so far this season as well as 300 runs batted in. They have recorded 119 doubles, while walking 219 times and notching 314 runs. The Houston Astros have accounted for an OBP of .314 and a team batting average of .244 for the season. The Astros have a slugging percentage of .398 and they are scoring 4.42 runs per outing (16th in MLB). They have been rung up on 573 instances (23rd in MLB) and have earned a total of 584 hits.

The Houston pitching staff have allowed 264 runs so far this season while holding a team ERA of 3.30 (233 earned runs surrendered). They have conceded 72 long balls and they concede 3.74 runs per 9 innings (2nd in baseball). The Astros hold a team WHIP of 1.244 in addition to having a FIP of 3.84 as a staff so far this year. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 9.30 (656 strikeouts against 217 free passes). They come in at 10th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 573.

Houston relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 29.0% out of 62 inherited runners. Their relievers have come in 59 times in high leverage situations in addition to 38 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 62 save situations, the Astros have accrued 35 holds and also 9 blown saves. They are ranked 12th in the league holding a save rate of 65.4%, and they have sent 217 relief pitchers onto the field this season. Houston has called on relief pitchers to enter the contest in 26 save chances and they have converted 17 saves.

The Houston Astros have turned 66 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .987 (8th in professional baseball). The Astros have racked up 607 assists, 32 errors and have amassed 1,905 putouts so far this year. In 5,715 innings played, the Astros have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.0% (18th in the majors).

Brown (8-3 mark in his career) has a 2.82 earned run average while giving up 7.4 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.18 and he has faced 386 batters in his career. He has conceded 30 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.171 and a FIP of 3.0. During his MLB career, Brown has allowed 79 base hits while earning 105 K's in 95 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Houston (-130)

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