New York Mets vs Detroit Tigers Prediction, 5/4/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Detroit Tigers

Date: Thursday, May 4, 2023

Location: Comerica Park in Detroit, MI

TV: Bally Sports Detroit

The Detroit Tigers (10-17) are welcoming the New York Mets (16-13) at Comerica Park on Thursday. The pitchers who are expected to start are Justin Verlander and Eduardo Rodriguez.

New York is slugging .393 and have struck out 227 times, while being walked on 116 occasions. They have tallied 130 runs batted in and 231 base knocks for the season, and their batting average is sitting at .242. The Mets have recorded 45 doubles as a squad and have knocked 31 baseballs out of the stadium. They are sitting with 135 runs scored while having a team OBP of .334. As a team, the New York Mets are recording 4.7 runs/g, which is 12th in baseball.

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The Mets have a team earned run average of 4.48 on the campaign (19th in the league), and their staff has rung up 246 batters. Mets pitchers have relinquished 42 long balls and also 126 runs in total (11th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 114 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 5.12 as a squad on the campaign. New York has allowed 225 base knocks (8.1 per 9 innings) in addition to 125 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.16 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.35.

The Mets have dispatched 92 relievers to the mound this season. The relief pitchers have inherited 39 runners this year and 23.1% of those players crossed home plate. They have tallied 9 saves for the year and have missed out on 2 of their 11 save opportunities. The Mets relievers have accumulated a save rate of 81.8% and has come into the game in 36 save situations. The relief pitchers have accumulated 25 holds for the season (3rd in MLB). Mets bullpen pitchers have come into the game with players on base 26 times in addition to having 30 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Mets have converted 71.4% of balls in play into outs out of 2,259 innings on the diamond, ranking them 5th in baseball. The New York Mets are sitting with 753 putouts for the season, in addition to 243 assists and 11 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .989 which ranks 9th in professional baseball, and have earned 27 double plays.

Verlander has thrown 3,163 frames and has racked up 3,198 K's so far in his pro baseball career. Verlander (244-133 career record) has a FIP of 3.36 while he has gone up against 12,880 hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.24 (1,139 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.117. He has given up 2,654 hits (7.6 hits per 9 innings) and has 880 walks.

The Tigers hold a team slugging % of .338 and they tally 3.26 runs per contest (30th in the league). They have hit 43 two-baggers, while taking a walk 85 times as well as recording 88 runs. Detroit has recorded 20 HRs this season as well as 86 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 271 occasions (12th in the league) and have a total of 205 base knocks. The Detroit Tigers have a team OBP of .290 and a batting average of .222 so far this season.

The Tigers have a team WHIP of 1.240 with a FIP of 4.91 as a unit for the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 7.80 (211 strikeouts against 81 walks). They come in at 5th in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 219. They have conceded 40 home runs and they concede 5.02 runs per 9 innings (22nd in MLB). The Detroit pitching staff have surrendered 135 runs this season while holding a team ERA of 4.80 (129 earned runs yielded).

Sitting with 27 save situations, the Tigers have accumulated 14 holds and 5 blown saves. Detroit has called on relievers to enter the contest in 11 save chances and they have earned 6 saves. Their relief pitchers have come in 33 times in high leverage situations and also on 28 occasions with runners on. Detroit relievers have an inherited score rate of 45.9% out of 37 inherited base runners. They are ranked 23rd in MLB with a save percentage of 54.5%, and they have sent 86 relief pitchers to the hill this year.

Out of their 2,178 innings played, the Tigers have a defensive efficiency of 72.5% (2nd in the majors). The Detroit Tigers have gotten 21 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .990 (6th in baseball). The Tigers have accrued 240 assists, 10 errors and have earned a total of 726 putouts so far this year.

So far in his career, Rodriguez has allowed 943 base knocks while he has tallied 994 K's in 984 innings pitched. Rodriguez (71-46 record in his career) is the owner of a 4.08 ERA and has allowed 8.6 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 446 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.298 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.9. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.97 and he has gone up against 4,177 opposing hitters thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Detroit

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