New York Mets vs Detroit Tigers Prediction, 5/2/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Detroit Tigers

Date: Tuesday, May 2, 2023

Location: Comerica Park in Detroit, MI

TV: Bally Sports Detroit

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-150) Detroit (+130)

The New York Mets (15-12) are hitting the road to Comerica Park on Tuesday where they will attempt to defeat the Detroit Tigers (10-17). The moneyline on this matchup has New York at -150 and Detroit is coming in at +130. The total is set at 9. The pitchers taking the mound will be Max Scherzer and Michael Lorenzen.

As a team, the New York Mets are scoring 4.5 runs per game, which has them at 16th in the league. They have 122 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .332. The Mets have hit 42 doubles as a unit and have hit 27 balls out of the park. They have amassed 118 RBI's as well as 213 hits for the season, and their team batting average sits at .240. New York has a slugging rate of .384 and have struck out 207 times, while being walked on 109 occasions.

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The Mets have a team ERA of 4.36 this season (16th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 230 hitters. Mets pitchers have surrendered 38 home runs in addition to 114 runs (9th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 107 batters and their FIP sits at 5.09 as a squad on the campaign. New York has conceded 210 base hits (8.1 per 9 innings) and also 113 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.15 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.36.

The Mets relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 80.0% and has come into the game in 35 save situations. The relievers have inherited 37 base runners this year and 24.3% of them ended up crossing the plate. Mets relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 24 times as well as having 28 appearances in high leverage situations. The Mets have dispatched 86 relief pitchers to the mound on the year. The relief pitchers have racked up 25 holds on the year (3rd in the league). They have recorded 8 saves so far this year and have blown 2 of 10 save opportunities.

The New York Mets have accounted for 699 putouts on the year, in addition to 227 assists and 11 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .988 which has them sitting 12th in MLB, and have a total of 25 double plays. The Mets have converted 71.0% of balls in play into outs out of their 2,097 innings on the field, which has them ranked 5th in MLB.

Scherzer has thrown 2,701 innings and has 3,210 punch outs during his MLB career. His earned run average is 3.12 (935 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.075. He has conceded 2,194 hits (7.3 hits per 9 innings) and has had 710 walks. Scherzer (203-103 career record) holds a FIP of 3.12 while he has faced 10,908 batters during his time in the majors.

The Detroit Tigers have recorded a team on-base percentage of .290 and a batting average of .222 this year. They have been rung up on 271 occasions (5th in MLB) and have a total of 205 base hits. Detroit has 20 home runs on the campaign and 86 RBIs. The Tigers have a team slugging percentage of .338 and they average 3.26 runs per game (30th in baseball). They have put up 43 doubles, while taking a walk 85 times and putting up 88 runs.

The Tigers hold a team WHIP of 1.240 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.93 as a unit on the campaign. They are currently ranked 11th in baseball as a staff in total hits surrendered with 219. The Detroit pitching staff have surrendered 135 runs this year while holding an ERA of 4.80 (129 earned runs conceded). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 7.80 (211 strikeouts against 81 bases on balls). They have yielded 40 homers and they concede 5.02 runs per 9 innings (23rd in MLB).

Detroit relievers have an inherited score percentage of 45.9% out of 37 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 33 times in high leverage situations and also on 28 occasions with runners on. With 27 save situations, the Tigers have 14 holds in addition to 5 blown saves. They rank 22nd in MLB holding a save percentage of 54.5%, and they have dispatched 86 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season. Detroit has called on relievers to enter the game in 11 save opportunities and they have earned 6 saves.

In 2,178 innings played, the Tigers have earned a defensive efficiency of 72.5% (2nd in the majors). The Detroit Tigers have turned 21 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .990 (6th in professional baseball). The Tigers have accrued 240 assists, 10 errors and have accumulated 726 putouts over the course of the season.

Lorenzen (31-30 career mark) has a 4.17 ERA while giving up 8.5 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.06 and he has faced 2,513 hitters in his career. He has conceded a total of 271 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.362 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.3. So far in his career, Lorenzen has conceded 551 base hits while he has tallied 506 punch outs in 585 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Detroit (+130)

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