New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 5/11/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Thursday, May 11, 2023

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-135) Cincinnati (+115)

The Cincinnati Reds (15-20) welcome the New York Mets (17-19) at Great American Ball Park on Thursday. The moneyline on this contest has New York at -135 and Cincinnati opens at +115. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Kodai Senga and Ben Lively.

New York has a slugging rate of .389 and have struck out 274 times, while being walked on 137 occasions. They have accrued 149 runs batted in in addition to 277 base knocks this season, and their team batting average comes in at .236. The Mets have recorded 54 two-baggers as a unit and have smacked 40 baseballs out of the park. They have 156 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .324. As a team, the New York Mets are compiling 4.3 runs per game, which has them at 19th in baseball.

Get all of our Free MLB Picks

The Mets are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.82 this season (23rd in the league), and the staff has struck out 298 batters. Mets pitchers have surrendered 52 long balls in addition to 167 runs in total (18th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 138 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 5.12 as a team so far this season. New York has given up 287 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) in addition to 166 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.16 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.37.

Mets relief pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 31 times as well as having 35 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have racked up 27 holds on the year (4th in baseball). The Mets relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 76.9% and has come into the game in 40 save situations. They have compiled 10 saves on the season and have blown 3 of their 13 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 46 runners on the campaign with 26.1% of them ended up scoring. The Mets have sent 114 relievers to the hill so far this season.

The New York Mets have a total of 930 putouts thus far, as well as 293 assists and 12 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .990 which has them ranked 4th in the majors, and have a total of 32 double plays. The Mets have converted 70.9% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 2,790 innings on the field, which ranks them 6th in the majors.

Senga has taken the mound for 32 frames and has accounted for 36 strikeouts so far in his MLB career. Senga (4-1 record in his career) has a FIP of 5.16 while he has faced 141 opposing batters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.38 (12 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.469. He has given up 25 hits (7.0 hits per nine innings) with 22 walks.

The Reds have a SLG% of .373 and they average 4.31 runs per game (20th in the league). They have hit 52 two-baggers, while taking a walk 116 times and scoring 151 runs. Cincinnati has compiled 27 long balls for the season as well as 144 RBIs. They have been rung up on 316 occasions (14th in the league) and have totaled 287 base hits. The Cincinnati Reds are sitting with an on-base percentage of .323 and a team batting average of .247 for the season.

The Reds have a WHIP of 1.514 and have a FIP of 4.53 as a staff on the season. They rank 26th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 335. The Cincinnati pitching staff have allowed 186 runs so far this season while holding a team ERA of 5.22 (177 earned runs yielded). Their K/BB ratio is 9.30 (315 strikeouts vs 127 free passes). They have surrendered 43 dingers and they surrender 5.49 runs per 9 innings (27th in the league).

With 34 save situations, the Reds have compiled 17 holds and 6 blown saves. Cincinnati has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 15 save chances and they have tallied 9 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 47 times in high leverage situations and on 48 occasions with runners on. Cincinnati relievers have an inherited score percentage of 30.3% out of their 76 inherited runners. They sit at 18th in baseball with a save percentage of 60.0%, and they have dispatched 126 relief pitchers onto the diamond on the campaign.

The Cincinnati Reds have turned 28 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .988 (13th in MLB). The Reds have racked up 275 assists, 15 errors and have amassed 916 putouts on the season. In 2,748 innings played, the Reds hold a defensive efficiency of 65.1% (30th in baseball).

Lively (4-10 career record) is the owner of a 4.80 earned run average while giving up 10.1 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.05 and he has gone up against 523 hitters during his pro baseball career. He has given up a total of 64 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.442 and having a FIP of 5.0. Thus far in his career, Lively has allowed 134 base hits while accumulating 80 strikeouts in 120 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (-135)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here