New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 5/10/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Wednesday, May 10, 2023

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-180) Cincinnati (+155)

The New York Mets (17-18) are on their way to Great American Ball Park on Wednesday where they will play the Cincinnati Reds (14-20). The odds on this game have the Mets at -180 while the Reds are sitting at +155. The over/under has been set at 9. The men taking the mound are Justin Verlander and Hunter Greene.

As a team, the New York Mets are compiling 4.3 runs per game, which has them at 18th in the league. They have accumulated 150 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .324. The Mets have tallied 54 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 36 baseballs out of the stadium. They have amassed 144 runs batted in and 270 hits on the season, while their team batting average is sitting at .236. New York has a slugging % of .383 and have struck out 269 times, while being walked on 133 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.16 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.36. Mets pitchers have given up 52 home runs and 160 runs in total (16th in the league). New York has surrendered 277 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) and 159 earned runs. The Mets have an ERA of 4.74 on the year (22nd in MLB), and their staff has rung up 289 hitters. They have walked 134 opposing players and their FIP is 5.19 as a team on the season.

The Mets have sent 110 relievers to the mound over the course of the season. The relievers have inherited 45 base runners on the year and 26.7% of those runners earned a run for their team. They have recorded 10 saves so far this year and have blown 3 out of their 13 chances to get a save. The Mets relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 76.9% and has come into the game in 40 save situations. The relief pitchers have 27 holds this year (3rd in the league). Mets pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 30 times in addition to having 35 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Mets have converted 71.3% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 2,718 innings, which has them sitting 4th in pro baseball. The New York Mets have amassed 906 putouts for the season, as well as 287 assists and 12 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .990 which has them ranked 5th in the majors, and have a total of 31 double plays.

Verlander (244-134 career mark) holds a FIP of 3.37 while he has gone up against 12,900 opposing batters during his time in the majors. He has surrendered 2,659 base hits (7.6 hits per 9 innings) with 881 walks. His earned run average is 3.24 (1,141 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.117. Verlander has pitched in 3,168 innings and has tallied 3,203 punch outs during his career.

The Cincinnati Reds have a team on-base percentage of .321 as well as a team batting average of .245 for the year. They have been called out on strikes on 307 occasions (17th in MLB) and have earned 277 base knocks. Cincinnati has hit 27 home runs on the season as well as 137 runs batted in. The Reds hold a slugging percentage of .370 and they tally 4.24 runs per outing (21st in the league). They have tallied 49 doubles, while getting a free base 112 times and putting up 144 runs.

The Cincinnati pitching staff have given up 180 runs for the season while having an ERA of 5.20 (171 earned runs surrendered). They have surrendered 39 homers and they allow 5.47 runs per 9 innings (27th in the league). The Reds have a WHIP of 1.523 and have a FIP of 4.40 as a unit on the campaign. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 9.40 (310 strikeouts vs 123 walks). They are sitting at 26th in MLB as a staff in total hits allowed with 328.

Cincinnati relievers hold an inherited score rate of 30.1% out of 73 inherited runners. Their relievers have come in 45 times in high leverage situations in addition to 46 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 31 save situations, the Reds have 15 holds and 6 blown saves. They rank 21st in baseball with a save percentage of 57.1%, and they have sent 122 bullpen pitchers to the hill so far this season. Cincinnati has called on relievers to enter the contest in 14 save opportunities and they have recorded 8 saves.

The Cincinnati Reds have gotten 27 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .987 (14th in MLB). The Reds have 264 assists, 15 errors and are sitting with 889 putouts this season. In 2,667 innings played, the Reds have earned a efficiency on defense of 64.5% (30th in MLB).

In his career, Greene has conceded 140 base knocks while he has earned 211 punch outs in 159 innings. Greene (5-15 career win-loss mark) has a 4.29 ERA while allowing 7.9 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed a total of 76 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.255 and having a FIP of 4.1. His K/BB ratio is 3.52 and he has gone up against 681 hitters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (-180)

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