New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 5/23/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Tuesday, May 23, 2023

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Marquee

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-115) Chicago (-105)

The New York Mets (25-23) are traveling to Wrigley Field on Tuesday where they will go up against the Chicago Cubs (20-26). The odds on this game have New York at -115 and Chicago is at -105. The over/under comes in at 9. The expected starting pitchers will be Kodai Senga and Drew Smyly.

The Mets have recorded 67 doubles as a squad and have knocked 54 baseballs out of the park. New York is slugging .391 and have been rung up 358 times, while drawing a walk on 170 occasions. As a unit, the New York Mets are notching 4.3 runs per game, which has them sitting at 19th in baseball. They have 199 RBI's as well as 387 hits on the campaign, while their average at the plate is sitting at .244. They have earned a total of 207 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .325.

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The Mets have a team ERA of 4.68 this season (24th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 392 batters. Mets pitchers have yielded 65 home runs and also 221 total runs (20th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 175 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.91 as a team for the season. New York has given up 383 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) and also 217 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.24 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.34.

The Mets bullpen have accumulated a save rate of 77.8% and has come into the game in 53 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 58 runners this year and 25.9% of them crossed home plate. Mets pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 39 times as well as having 51 appearances in high leverage situations. The Mets have dispatched 150 relief pitchers to the hill so far this season. The relievers have a total of 35 holds over the course of the season (3rd in baseball). They have recorded 14 saves for the season and have not converted 4 out of their 18 chances to save the game.

The New York Mets have a tally of 1,251 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 420 assists and 15 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .991 which ranks 3rd in the majors, and they have turned 43 double plays. The Mets have turned 71.0% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 3,753 innings, which ranks them 5th in MLB.

Senga (4-2 career record) sits with a FIP of 4.36 and he has faced 187 opposing hitters in the majors. He has conceded 36 base hits (7.5 hits per 9 innings) and has had 26 free passes. His earned run average is 3.77 (18 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.442. Senga has taken the ball for 43 innings and has earned 55 strikeouts during his pro baseball career.

Chicago has a total of 58 home runs for the season to go along with 212 runs batted in. They have recorded 76 doubles, while taking a walk 173 times and recording 220 runs. The Chicago Cubs hold an OBP of .338 as well as a team batting average of .262 so far this year. The Cubs hold a team slugging % of .427 and they average 4.78 runs per contest (10th in baseball). They have been called out on strikes on 420 occasions (9th in the league) and are sitting with 416 base knocks.

The Cubs are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.239 with a FIP of 3.97 as a squad on the year. They have a ranking of 6th in the league as a staff in total hits relinquished with 365. The Chicago pitching staff have given up 199 runs so far this year and come in with a team ERA of 4.17 (188 earned runs allowed). Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.60 (387 strikeouts against 138 walks). They have given up 45 home runs and they yield 4.41 runs per 9 innings (13th in MLB).

Chicago has had relievers enter the game in 10 save opportunities and they have converted 5 saves. They are currently ranked 28th in baseball with a save rate of 50.0%, and they have dispatched 148 bullpen pitchers to the mound over the course of the season. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 34 times in high leverage situations and on 33 occasions with base runners. Chicago bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 25.0% of 48 inherited base runners. With 31 save situations, the Cubs have 20 holds and also 5 blown saves.

The Chicago Cubs have gotten 44 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .987 (10th in pro baseball). The Cubs have racked up 420 assists, 21 errors and have amassed 1,218 putouts over the course of the season. In 3,654 innings on the field, the Cubs have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.9% (10th in baseball).

During his MLB career, Smyly has surrendered 940 hits and he has 968 strikeouts in 994 innings pitched. He has allowed 446 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.249 and a FIP of 4.2. His K/BB ratio is 3.21 and he has gone up against 4,166 hitters in his career. Smyly (57-48 career mark) has earned a 4.04 ERA while giving up 8.5 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (-115)

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