New York Mets vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 7/23/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Sunday, July 23, 2023

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Fenway Park is where the Boston Red Sox (51-46) will try to beat the New York Mets (45-51) on Sunday. The expected starting pitchers are Carlos Carrasco and James Paxton.

As a squad, the New York Mets are putting up 4.4 runs per game, which has them at 18th in the league. They have racked up 426 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .318. The Mets have accrued 126 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 121 balls out of the park. They have accumulated 415 RBI's in addition to 749 hits on the season, and their batting average is at .237. New York is slugging .400 and have struck out 758 times, while being walked on 324 occasions.

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They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.35 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.35. Mets pitchers have relinquished 123 home runs and 437 total runs (18th in the league). New York has allowed 778 base knocks (8.4 per 9 innings) as well as 406 earned runs. The Mets have an earned run average of 4.36 so far this year (19th in the league), and their staff has rung up 824 batters. They have walked 350 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.66 as a squad for the season.

Mets pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 90 times as well as having 95 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have accumulated 58 holds this year (7th in MLB). The Mets bullpen have accumulated a save percentage of 64.7% and has stepped onto the mound in 95 save situations. They have compiled 22 saves on the year and have missed out on 12 of 34 chances to save the game. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 133 runners on the year and 27.8% of those players crossed home plate. The Mets have sent 309 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year.

The Mets have turned 69.7% of balls hit into play into outs in their 7,548 innings on the field, ranking them 11th in pro baseball. The New York Mets have accumulated 2,516 putouts thus far, in addition to 833 assists and 49 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .986 which has them sitting 18th in MLB, and have earned 85 double plays.

Carrasco (107-88 mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 3.60 and he has faced 6,286 hitters during his time in the majors. He has allowed 1,451 base knocks (8.6 hits per nine innings) and has 409 free passes. His earned run average is 3.94 (662 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.229. Carrasco has taken the mound for 1,513 innings and has totaled 1,555 punch outs thus far in his career.

The Boston Red Sox hold an on-base percentage of .331 as well as a batting average of .263 this season. They have been called out on strikes on 792 occasions (21st in baseball) and have tallied 877 base knocks. Boston has recorded 105 long balls so far this season and 465 RBIs. The Red Sox have a team slugging percentage of .432 and they are scoring 5.01 runs per contest (5th in the league). They have notched 222 doubles, while walking 306 times as well as racking up 486 runs.

The Red Sox have a WHIP of 1.299 with a FIP of 4.39 as a pitching staff this year. Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.80 (837 strikeouts vs 283 free passes). They sit at 23rd in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 829. They have surrendered 126 dingers and they surrender 4.74 runs per 9 innings (19th in MLB). The Boston pitching staff have conceded 451 runs so far this year while holding an ERA of 4.35 (414 earned runs yielded).

Boston has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 35 save chances and they have come away with 27 saves. They rank 3rd in baseball with a save percentage of 77.1%, and they have sent 292 relief pitchers to the mound this season. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 78 times in high leverage situations and also on 61 occasions with base runners. Boston relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 29.8% out of their 94 inherited base runners. Sitting with 73 save situations, the Red Sox have recorded 38 holds in addition to 8 blown saves.

The Boston Red Sox have turned 82 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .981 (30th in professional baseball). The Red Sox have 854 assists, 66 errors and have amassed 2,568 putouts for the year. Out of their 7,704 innings played, the Red Sox are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 68.4% (20th in pro baseball).

During his pro baseball career, Paxton has allowed 728 hits while he has totaled 899 strikeouts in 813 innings pitched. Paxton (62-35 career record) holds a 3.58 ERA and has given up 8.1 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 324 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.200 and having a FIP of 3.4. His K/BB ratio is 3.63 and he has faced 3,366 hitters during his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York

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