New York Mets vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 7/22/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Saturday, July 22, 2023

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-105) Boston (-115)

Fenway Park is where the Boston Red Sox (51-46) will take on the New York Mets (45-51) on Saturday. The odds on this game have the Mets at -105 while the Red Sox are priced at -115. The over/under is 9.5. The starting pitchers are Max Scherzer and Kutter Crawford.

The Mets have recorded 126 doubles as a team and have knocked 121 baseballs out of the park. New York has a slugging rate of .400 and have been called out on strikes 758 times, while taking a walk on 324 occasions. As a team, the New York Mets are putting up 4.4 runs/g, which has them at 18th in MLB. They have accumulated 415 RBI's as well as 749 hits for the season, and their team batting average is sitting at .237. They have accumulated 426 runs scored and hold an OBP of .318.

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They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.35 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.35. Mets pitchers have allowed 123 home runs in addition to 437 runs (18th in the league). New York has surrendered 778 base hits (8.4 per 9 innings) and also 406 earned runs. The Mets have a team ERA of 4.36 for the season (19th in the league), and their staff has struck out 824 hitters. They have walked 350 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 4.66 as a team over the course of the season.

The Mets relievers have a save rate of 64.7% and has come into the game in 95 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 133 base runners over the course of the season with 27.8% of them earned a run for their team. Mets pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 90 times as well as having 95 appearances in high leverage situations. The Mets have dispatched 309 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season. The relievers have accumulated 58 holds for the year (7th in baseball). They have tallied 22 saves on the campaign and have missed out on 12 of their 34 chances to get a save.

The Mets have converted 69.7% of balls in play into outs in their 7,548 innings on the field, which has them sitting 11th in pro baseball. The New York Mets have accounted for 2,516 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 833 assists and 49 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .986 which ranks 18th in baseball, and they have turned 85 double plays.

Scherzer has thrown 2,776 innings and is sitting with 3,300 punch outs in his career. Scherzer (209-105 record in his career) has a FIP of 3.14 and he has gone up against 11,221 batters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.14 (969 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.078. He has surrendered 2,266 hits (7.3 hits per 9 innings) and has 727 free passes.

The Boston Red Sox have earned an on-base percentage of .331 as well as a batting average of .263 for the year. They have been called out on strikes on 792 occasions (21st in MLB) and have earned a total of 877 hits. Boston has tallied 105 home runs for the season as well as 465 runs batted in. The Red Sox hold a slugging percentage of .432 and they score 5.01 runs per game (5th in baseball). They have 222 doubles, while walking 306 times and putting up 486 runs.

The Red Sox have a team WHIP of 1.299 in addition to having a FIP of 4.39 as a team for the year. They sit at 23rd in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 829. The Boston pitching staff have conceded 451 runs over the course of the season and come in with a team ERA of 4.35 (414 earned runs yielded). Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.80 (837 strikeouts vs 283 walks). They have surrendered 126 HR's and they concede 4.74 runs per 9 innings (19th in the league).

Boston relievers hold an inherited score rate of 29.8% of 94 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 78 times in high leverage situations and also on 61 occasions with base runners. With 73 save situations, the Red Sox have 38 holds and 8 blown saves. They are currently ranked 3rd in MLB with a save rate of 77.1%, and they have dispatched 292 bullpen pitchers to the mound so far this season. Boston has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 35 save chances and they have walked away with 27 saves.

The Boston Red Sox have turned 82 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .981 (30th in MLB). The Red Sox have racked up 854 assists, 66 errors and are sitting with 2,568 putouts on the campaign. In 7,704 innings on the diamond, the Red Sox have earned a efficiency on defense of 68.4% (20th in professional baseball).

In his career, Crawford has allowed 145 base hits while earning 146 K's in 146 frames. He has allowed a total of 80 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.316 and a FIP of 4.3. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.04 and he has gone up against 620 batters during his MLB career. Crawford (7-11 career record) has earned a 4.91 earned run average while allowing 8.9 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (-105)

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