New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 8/22/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Tuesday, August 22, 2023

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: Bally Sports South

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+170) Atlanta (-205)

The New York Mets (58-67) are hitting the road to Truist Park on Tuesday where they will play the Atlanta Braves (80-43). The moneyline on this contest has New York at +170 and Atlanta opens at -205. The total is 10. The pitchers taking the mound are Tylor Megill and Bryce Elder.

The Mets have tallied 168 doubles as a team and have hit 161 balls out of the park. New York is slugging .403 and have struck out 987 times, while drawing a walk on 423 occasions. As a team, the New York Mets are notching 4.4 runs per game, which puts them at 17th in the league. They have accumulated 537 runs batted in in addition to 983 hits on the season, and their average at the plate sits at .238. They have earned 553 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .318.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.26 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.38. Mets pitchers have yielded 155 home runs and also 587 runs in total (19th in MLB). New York has surrendered 1,040 hits (8.6 per 9 innings) as well as 544 earned runs. The Mets are sitting with a team ERA of 4.49 so far this year (20th in the league), and their staff has rung up 1,055 hitters. They have walked 466 batters and their FIP comes in at 4.64 as a unit this season.

The Mets have sent 411 relief pitchers to the hill for the year. The relievers have inherited 182 runners over the course of the season and 29.7% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. They have accumulated 28 saves on the season and have missed out on 14 out of their 42 save opportunities. The Mets bullpen have earned a save rate of 66.7% and has come into the game in 117 save situations. The relief pitchers are sitting with 71 holds on the season (11th in the league). Mets pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 123 times as well as having 116 appearances in high leverage situations.

The New York Mets have earned 3,250 putouts on the campaign, as well as 1,078 assists and 68 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .985 which is 23rd in the majors, and have 108 double plays. The Mets have turned 69.1% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 9,750 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 16th in MLB.

Megill (15-14 win-loss mark in his career) has a FIP of 4.67 while facing 976 batters in the majors. He has given up 237 base knocks (9.6 hits per 9 innings) with 84 free passes. His ERA is 5.04 (125 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.437. Megill has taken the ball for 223 innings and has totaled 219 punch outs thus far in his career.

The Atlanta Braves have compiled an on-base percentage of .344 in addition to a team batting average of .274 for the year. They have been rung up on 999 occasions (24th in baseball) and have accounted for 1,152 base hits. Atlanta has knocked in 235 home runs for the year to go along with 690 runs batted in. The Braves have a team slugging % of .499 and they score 5.81 runs per game (1st in the league). They have put up 214 two-baggers, while getting a free base 422 times as well as scoring 715 runs.

The Braves hold a team WHIP of 1.273 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.94 as a team so far this year. They rank 7th in baseball as a staff in total hits conceded with 994. The Atlanta pitching staff have conceded 503 runs on the campaign while holding a team ERA of 3.80 (461 earned runs allowed). Their K/BB ratio comes in at 9.40 (1,143 strikeouts against 395 free passes). They have given up 128 homers and they relinquish 4.15 runs per 9 innings (7th in the league).

Atlanta relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 29.9% out of their 154 inherited base runners. Their relievers have taken the field 132 times in high leverage situations and on 103 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 138 save situations, the Braves have amassed 78 holds and also 20 blown saves. They rank 14th in MLB with a save percentage of 66.1%, and they have sent 406 relief pitchers to the hill on the year. Atlanta has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 59 save chances and they have come away with 39 saves.

The Atlanta Braves have turned 108 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .985 (22nd in professional baseball). The Braves have 1,020 assists, 67 errors and are sitting with 3,246 putouts for the year. Out of their 9,738 innings played, the Braves have a defensive efficiency of 68.5% (21st in the majors).

Elder (11-8 mark in his career) has earned a 3.38 earned run average while giving up 7.8 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.16 and he has gone up against 796 opposing hitters in his pro baseball career. He has allowed a total of 72 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.219 and having a FIP of 4.1. So far in his career, Elder has given up 166 base hits while earning 147 K's in 192 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta (-205)

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