New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 8/21/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Monday, August 21, 2023

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: Bally Sports South

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+164) Atlanta (-198)

Truist Park is the location where the Atlanta Braves (80-42) will try to beat the New York Mets (58-66) on Monday. The moneyline on this matchup has New York at +164 while Atlanta is coming in at -198. The total has been set at 10. The pitchers who are expected to start are David Peterson and Bryce Elder.

New York has a slugging percentage of .404 and have struck out 976 times, while being walked on 421 occasions. They have 534 runs batted in and 976 hits this year, while their average at the plate is .238. The Mets have recorded 168 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 160 baseballs out of the park. They have racked up 550 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .319. As a unit, the New York Mets are putting up 4.4 runs per contest, which is 16th in baseball.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.25 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.38. Mets pitchers have relinquished 154 home runs and also 580 total runs (19th in the league). New York has allowed 1,025 base hits (8.5 per 9 innings) and 537 earned runs. The Mets hold a team ERA of 4.46 on the campaign (20th in the league), and the staff has struck out 1,048 batters. They have walked 465 batters and their FIP is 4.64 as a unit for the season.

The Mets bullpen have compiled a save rate of 66.7% and has entered the game in 117 save situations. The relievers have inherited 180 base runners on the season and 30.0% of those players crossed home plate. Mets pitchers have come into the game with players on base 121 times and also have had 116 appearances in high leverage situations. The Mets have sent 406 relief pitchers to the mound over the course of the season. The relievers have 71 holds so far this year (11th in MLB). They have compiled 28 saves for the year and have blown 14 out of their 42 save opportunities.

The New York Mets have earned 3,250 putouts on the year, as well as 1,078 assists and 68 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .985 which puts them in 23rd in the majors, and have accumulated 108 double plays. The Mets have converted 69.1% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 9,750 innings, which has them sitting 16th in baseball.

Peterson has taken the hill for 294 innings and has tallied 314 K's during his MLB career. Peterson (18-20 career win-loss mark) has earned a FIP of 4.31 and he has faced 1,273 opposing batters in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.55 (149 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.405. He has allowed 277 hits (8.5 hits per 9 innings) and has had 137 free passes.

The Braves have a team SLG% of .500 and they earn 5.84 runs per outing (1st in MLB). They have notched 214 doubles, while taking a walk 419 times as well as putting up 712 runs. Atlanta has recorded 234 long balls so far this season and 688 RBIs. They have been rung up on 991 occasions (25th in baseball) and have 1,146 hits. The Atlanta Braves have an OBP of .345 in addition to a team batting average of .274 for the season.

The Atlanta pitching staff have given up 499 runs over the course of the season while having an ERA of 3.80 (457 earned runs relinquished). They have allowed 126 home runs and they yield 4.15 runs per 9 innings (7th in the league). The Braves are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.271 in addition to having a FIP of 3.92 as a squad so far this year. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 9.40 (1,131 strikeouts vs 391 free passes). They come in at 6th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 984.

Atlanta relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 30.7% out of their 150 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 130 times in high leverage situations in addition to 101 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 138 save situations, the Braves have compiled 78 holds and 20 blown saves. They sit at 14th in MLB with a save rate of 66.1%, and they have sent 403 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond on the season. Atlanta has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 59 save chances and they have recorded 39 saves.

Out of their 9,738 innings on the field, the Braves are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 68.5% (21st in the majors). The Atlanta Braves have turned 108 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .985 (22nd in baseball). The Braves have accrued 1,020 assists, 67 errors and have earned a total of 3,246 putouts for the season.

Elder (11-8 mark in his career) holds a 3.38 earned run average while giving up 7.8 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.16 and he has gone up against 796 opposing hitters during his career. He has conceded a total of 72 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.219 and having a FIP of 4.1. During his career, Elder has conceded 166 hits and he has 147 K's in 192 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Atlanta (-198) and under 10 runs

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