New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 6/7/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Wednesday, June 7, 2023

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: Bally Sports South

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+100) Atlanta (-120)

The Atlanta Braves (35-24) host the New York Mets (30-30) at Truist Park on Wednesday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Mets at +100 and the Braves are coming in at -120. The total comes in at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Max Scherzer and Charlie Morton.

As a team, the New York Mets are scoring 4.3 runs per contest, which ranks them 22nd in baseball. They have accumulated 258 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .319. The Mets have hit 78 doubles as a team and have hit 69 baseballs out of the stadium. They have 249 runs batted in and 477 base knocks this year, and their batting average comes in at .241. New York has a slugging % of .394 and have been called out on strikes 446 times, while drawing a walk on 204 occasions.

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The Mets have a team earned run average of 4.49 so far this year (22nd in the league), and they have rung up 506 batters. Mets pitchers have given up 80 long balls and 270 runs in total (16th in baseball). They have walked 215 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.75 as a squad this year. New York has yielded 484 base hits (8.4 per 9 innings) as well as 260 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.35 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.34.

The Mets have sent 187 relievers to the mound on the season. The relievers have inherited 74 runners on the campaign and 21.6% of them crossed the plate. They have accumulated 18 saves for the season and have missed out on 6 of 24 save opportunities. The Mets relievers have accumulated a save percentage of 75.0% and has entered the game in 66 save situations. The bullpen have tallied 42 holds this season (2nd in the league). Mets bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 49 times and also have had 56 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Mets have converted 70.4% of balls in play into outs out of their 4,689 innings on the field, ranking them 6th in the majors. The New York Mets have accounted for 1,563 putouts this season, as well as 520 assists and 20 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .990 which has them ranked 1st in the majors, and have earned 50 double plays.

Scherzer (206-104 mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.12 while he has faced 11,021 opposing batters in the majors. He has given up 2,218 hits (7.3 hits per nine innings) with 715 free passes. His earned run average is 3.11 (944 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.074. Scherzer has taken the hill for 2,729 innings and has earned 3,241 K's so far in his career.

The Braves have a SLG% of .461 and they are scoring 5.03 runs per game (5th in baseball). They have recorded 103 two-baggers, while taking a walk 196 times and putting up 297 runs. Atlanta is sitting with 97 HRs for the season and 286 runs batted in. They have struck out on 508 occasions (19th in the league) and have earned 517 base knocks. The Atlanta Braves have a team on-base percentage of .330 in addition to a batting average of .259 so far this season.

The Braves have a WHIP of 1.274 in addition to having a FIP of 3.76 as a pitching staff so far this year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.60 (555 strikeouts vs 193 bases on balls). They rank 5th in baseball as a staff in total hits allowed with 472. They have conceded 54 HR's and they surrender 4.03 runs per 9 innings (6th in the league). The Atlanta pitching staff have allowed 234 runs on the year while having an ERA of 3.66 (212 earned runs conceded).

Atlanta bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 35.9% out of their 78 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 62 times in high leverage situations and on 52 occasions with runners on. With 66 save situations, the Braves have amassed 38 holds in addition to 12 blown saves. They rank 22nd in MLB with a save rate of 57.1%, and they have dispatched 197 relief pitchers onto the diamond so far this year. Atlanta has had relief pitchers enter the contest in 28 save chances and they have tallied 16 saves.

The Atlanta Braves have gotten 52 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .982 (27th in baseball). The Braves have recorded 492 assists, 38 errors and have 1,566 putouts during this campaign. In their 4,698 innings played, the Braves hold a defensive efficiency of 67.9% (25th in professional baseball).

So far in his career, Morton has surrendered 1,754 base hits while he has earned 1,769 punch outs in 1,861 innings. Morton (121-107 career record) has a 4.02 ERA while allowing 8.5 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 831 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.299 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.8. His K/BB ratio is 2.66 and he has faced 7,969 opposing hitters during his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (+100)

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