New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, 7/6/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Date: Thursday, July 6, 2023

Location: Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ

TV: Bally Sports Arizona

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+110) Arizona (-130)

The Arizona Diamondbacks (50-36) will try to beat the New York Mets (39-46) at Chase Field on Thursday. The moneyline on this contest has the Mets at +110 and the Diamondbacks are coming in at -130. The total has been set at 10.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Carlos Carrasco and Ryne Nelson.

As a squad, the New York Mets are scoring 4.5 runs per game, which ranks them 15th in the league. They are sitting with 384 runs while having a team OBP of .318. The Mets have recorded 114 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 108 baseballs out of the park. They have accumulated 373 RBI's in addition to 676 hits on the year, while their average at the plate is at .240. New York is slugging .403 and have been called out on strikes 663 times, while drawing a walk on 281 occasions.

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The Mets have compiled a team earned run average of 4.50 this season (22nd in the league), and the staff has rung up 728 batters. Mets pitchers have yielded 114 long balls in addition to 393 total runs (17th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 313 batters and their FIP comes in at 4.79 as a team on the campaign. New York has conceded 701 hits (8.5 per 9 innings) as well as 370 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.33 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.37.

The Mets have dispatched 275 relief pitchers to the hill this season. The relief pitchers have inherited 119 base runners on the season and 28.6% of those runners crossed home plate. They have earned 21 saves on the season and have blown 11 of their 32 save opportunities. The Mets relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 65.6% and stepped onto the hill in 89 save situations. The relief pitchers have tallied 56 holds for the year (5th in MLB). Mets bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 79 times in addition to having 80 appearances in high leverage situations.

The New York Mets have earned a total of 2,219 putouts thus far, as well as 740 assists and 42 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .986 which ranks 15th in professional baseball, and they have turned 79 double plays. The Mets have turned 69.3% of balls hit into play into outs in their 6,657 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 13th in MLB.

Carrasco has taken the ball for 1,501 frames and has tallied 1,546 strikeouts during his pro baseball career. His ERA is 3.95 (658 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.231. He has surrendered 1,442 base hits (8.6 hits per nine innings) with 406 free passes. Carrasco (106-88 career record) sits with a FIP of 3.60 while he has gone up against 6,237 batters in the major leagues.

The Diamondbacks have a team SLG% of .434 and they score 5.07 runs per contest (5th in the league). They have put up 167 two-baggers, while taking a walk 284 times and earning 436 runs. Arizona has a total of 101 long balls on the campaign as well as 416 RBIs. They have struck out on 665 instances (27th in the league) and have 765 hits. The Arizona Diamondbacks have an on-base percentage of .329 and a batting average of .261 this year.

The Diamondbacks hold a team WHIP of 1.327 in addition to having a FIP of 4.29 as a pitching staff on the campaign. They are currently ranked 19th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 726. The Arizona pitching staff have allowed 402 runs over the course of the season while having an ERA of 4.39 (373 earned runs conceded). They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.40 (717 strikeouts against 288 walks). They have surrendered 98 HR's and they surrender 4.73 runs per 9 innings (18th in MLB).

Arizona has called on relief pitchers to step onto the mound in 37 save opportunities and they have walked away with 23 saves. They are currently ranked 15th in the league with a save rate of 62.2%, and they have sent 273 relievers onto the diamond this season. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 79 times in high leverage situations and on 83 occasions with base runners. Arizona relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 31.8% out of their 129 inherited runners. Sitting with 87 save situations, the Diamondbacks have recorded 49 holds and also 14 blown saves.

In their 6,879 innings on the diamond, the Diamondbacks have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.6% (10th in MLB). The Arizona Diamondbacks have gotten 68 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .990 (1st in the majors). The Diamondbacks have racked up 751 assists, 30 errors and have notched a total of 2,293 putouts so far this year.

So far in his MLB career, Nelson has given up 105 base knocks while he has accumulated 80 K's in 109 innings pitched. He has allowed 50 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.284 and having a FIP of 4.3. His K/BB ratio is 2.29 and he has gone up against 457 batters so far in his pro baseball career. Nelson (6-5 mark in his career) is the owner of a 4.13 ERA while surrendering 8.7 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (+110)

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