New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, 7/4/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Date: Tuesday, July 4, 2023

Location: Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ

TV: Bally Sports Arizona

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-115) Arizona (-105)

The New York Mets (38-46) are en route to Chase Field on Tuesday where they will take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (50-35). The moneyline on this game has New York at -115 while Arizona is opening at -105. The over/under has been set at 9. The expected starting pitchers will be Kodai Senga and Zach Davies.

The Mets have tallied 113 doubles as a unit and have hit 105 baseballs out of the stadium. New York is slugging .402 and have struck out 654 times, while drawing a walk on 275 occasions. As a unit, the New York Mets are notching 4.5 runs per game, which has them at 16th in baseball. They have amassed 365 RBI's as well as 668 base knocks on the season, and their batting average comes in at .240. They have earned a total of 376 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .317.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.33 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.37. Mets pitchers have surrendered 111 long balls and also 388 runs (17th in MLB). New York has yielded 693 base knocks (8.5 per 9 innings) in addition to 365 earned runs. The Mets have an earned run average of 4.50 on the campaign (22nd in baseball), and the staff has rung up 716 hitters. They have walked 307 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.75 as a team for the season.

The Mets relief pitchers have a save percentage of 64.5% and has entered the game in 87 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 117 runners on the campaign and 28.2% of those players crossed home plate. Mets pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 79 times in addition to having 80 appearances in high leverage situations. The Mets have sent 272 relief pitchers to the mound this season. The relief pitchers have 54 holds so far this year (5th in MLB). They have recorded 20 saves on the year and have blown 11 of their 31 save opportunities.

The New York Mets have accumulated 2,192 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 734 assists and 42 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .986 which has them sitting 15th in MLB, and have a total of 79 double plays. The Mets have converted 69.3% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 6,576 innings on the diamond, ranking them 13th in baseball.

Senga has taken the mound for 81 innings and has totaled 101 strikeouts during his MLB career. His earned run average is 3.53 (32 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.347. He has surrendered 64 base knocks (7.1 hits per nine innings) and has had 46 free passes. Senga (6-5 record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 4.01 and he has faced 355 hitters during his time in the majors.

The Arizona Diamondbacks are sitting with a team on-base percentage of .329 as well as a batting average of .261 for the year. They have struck out on 653 instances (28th in MLB) and have a total of 756 hits. Arizona has 98 home runs over the course of the season to go along with 411 RBIs. The Diamondbacks hold a team slugging % of .433 and they have an average of 5.07 runs per contest (5th in the league). They have recorded 166 two-baggers, while getting a free base 278 times as well as scoring 431 runs.

The Diamondbacks have a WHIP of 1.324 and have a FIP of 4.24 as a squad over the course of the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.40 (708 strikeouts against 282 free passes). They rank 22nd in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 718. They have surrendered 95 dingers and they allow 4.70 runs per 9 innings (18th in MLB). The Arizona pitching staff have relinquished 394 runs for the year and come in with a team ERA of 4.35 (365 earned runs surrendered).

Arizona has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 37 save chances and they have recorded 23 saves. They are ranked 17th in MLB with a save percentage of 62.2%, and they have sent 269 relievers to the mound so far this season. Their relief pitchers have come in 78 times in high leverage situations and also on 82 occasions with runners on. Arizona relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 31.7% out of their 126 inherited base runners. Sitting with 87 save situations, the Diamondbacks have compiled 49 holds in addition to 14 blown saves.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have gotten 66 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .990 (1st in professional baseball). The Diamondbacks have recorded 742 assists, 30 errors and have a total of 2,266 putouts during this campaign. In 6,798 innings on the diamond, the Diamondbacks are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 69.5% (9th in professional baseball).

Davies (59-57 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a 4.24 ERA while allowing 9.0 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.16 and he has gone up against 4,298 opposing batters in his career. He has conceded 475 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.340 and a FIP of 4.5. In his MLB career, Davies has given up 1,006 base knocks while he has totaled 746 strikeouts in 1,008 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (-115)

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