Minnesota Twins vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 8/12/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Minnesota Twins vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Saturday, August 12, 2023

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (-105) Philadelphia (-115)

The Philadelphia Phillies (64-52) are welcoming the Minnesota Twins (60-57) at Citizens Bank Park on Saturday. The line on this contest has the Twins at -105 while the Phillies are at -115. The total comes in at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Pablo Lopez and Taijuan Walker.

As a squad, the Minnesota Twins are earning 4.4 runs per game, which has them sitting at 18th in MLB. They have 515 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .315. The Twins have recorded 197 doubles as a team and have hit 157 baseballs out of the park. They have accounted for 491 runs batted in and 933 base knocks on the year, and their batting average is sitting at .237. Minnesota has a slugging % of .414 and have struck out 1,199 times, while drawing a walk on 391 occasions.

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They have earned a K/BB ratio of 3.56 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.19. Twins pitchers have allowed 135 home runs and 475 runs in total (6th in MLB). Minnesota has given up 928 base knocks (8.0 per 9 innings) as well as 449 earned runs. The Twins have a team ERA of 3.87 for the year (7th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 1,119 hitters. They have walked 314 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 3.82 as a unit on the year.

The Twins have dispatched 341 relievers to the hill for the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 112 runners so far this season and 32.1% of those players crossed the plate. They have accumulated 26 saves over the course of the season and have missed out on 22 out of their 48 chances to get a save. The Twins relief pitchers have a save percentage of 54.2% and has entered the game in 104 save situations. The relief pitchers have recorded 55 holds so far this year (21st in baseball). Twins relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 85 times and also have had 128 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Minnesota Twins have a total of 3,133 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 894 assists and 52 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .987 which ranks 10th in the majors, and have accumulated 82 double plays. The Twins have turned 69.7% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 9,399 innings on the field, which has them sitting 8th in MLB.

Lopez has pitched in 651 innings and has earned 662 K's during his pro baseball career. His ERA is 3.91 (283 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.168. He has allowed 583 base hits (8.1 hits per nine innings) and has had 178 free passes. Lopez (35-37 win-loss record in his career) holds a FIP of 3.66 while he has faced 2,687 hitters in the major leagues.

Philadelphia has compiled 134 home runs over the course of the season to go along with 517 RBIs. They have hit 213 doubles, while taking a walk 369 times and scoring 536 runs. The Philadelphia Phillies have earned a team OBP of .323 and a batting average of .255 on the campaign. The Phillies have a team slugging percentage of .420 and they are recording 4.62 runs per game (13th in MLB). They have struck out on 1,058 occasions (7th in the league) and have a total of 1,015 base hits.

The Philadelphia pitching staff have allowed 504 runs so far this year while holding an ERA of 3.96 (454 earned runs relinquished). They have given up 130 homers and they concede 4.39 runs per 9 innings (14th in baseball). The Phillies are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.233 with a FIP of 3.97 as a unit so far this season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 9.00 (1,034 strikeouts against 329 free passes). They are sitting at 12th in MLB as a staff in total hits conceded with 944.

With 105 save situations, the Phillies have earned 53 holds and also 18 blown saves. Philadelphia has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 52 save chances and they have tallied 34 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 129 times in high leverage situations and also on 97 occasions with runners on. Philadelphia relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 34.5% out of their 139 inherited base runners. They are currently ranked 12th in baseball with a save rate of 65.4%, and they have dispatched 372 relievers to the mound on the season.

In 9,291 innings on the diamond, the Phillies have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.5% (11th in pro baseball). The Philadelphia Phillies have gotten 82 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .985 (18th in professional baseball). The Phillies have recorded 993 assists, 62 errors and have earned a total of 3,097 putouts for the season.

So far in his MLB career, Walker has surrendered 927 hits while he has tallied 910 punch outs in 1,024 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 444 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.230 and a FIP of 4.2. His K/BB ratio is 2.73 and he has gone up against 4,296 opposing batters during his MLB career. Walker (67-54 career win-loss record) holds a 3.90 earned run average and has conceded 8.1 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Minnesota (-105)

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