Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals Prediction, 7/30/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals

Date: Sunday, July 30, 2023

Location: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, MO

TV: Bally Sports Kansas City

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (-175) Kansas City (+150)

The Kansas City Royals (30-75) will compete against the Minnesota Twins (54-51) at Kauffman Stadium on Sunday. The odds on this game have the Twins at -175 while the Royals are priced at +150. The over/under comes in at 8.5. The men taking the mound will be Bailey Ober and Jordan Lyles.

As a squad, the Minnesota Twins are scoring 4.4 runs per game, which has them sitting at 19th in MLB. They have 462 runs while holding a team OBP of .315. The Twins have compiled 177 doubles as a team and have hit 139 baseballs out of the park. They have 439 runs batted in and 839 base knocks over the course of the season, while their average at the plate sits at .237. Minnesota is slugging .413 and have been called out on strikes 1,088 times, while taking a walk on 354 occasions.

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The Twins have a team ERA of 3.83 over the course of the season (6th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 1,013 hitters. Twins pitchers have given up 118 home runs and 424 runs in total (4th in MLB). They have walked 293 opposing batters and their FIP is 3.80 as a unit on the year. Minnesota has surrendered 813 base hits (7.8 per 9 innings) and also 401 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 3.46 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.17.

The Twins relief pitchers have a save percentage of 52.3% and has stepped onto the mound in 96 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 111 runners this season with 31.5% of those runners earned a run for their team. Twins pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 84 times and also have had 119 appearances in high leverage situations. The Twins have sent 312 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign. The bullpen have recorded 51 holds this season (19th in baseball). They have recorded 23 saves this season and have blown 21 of their 44 save opportunities.

The Twins have converted 70.2% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 8,481 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 7th in the majors. The Minnesota Twins have earned a total of 2,827 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 801 assists and 46 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .987 which has them ranked 8th in baseball, and have a total of 76 double plays.

Ober has taken the ball for 243 innings and has 237 punch outs in his career. Ober (11-10 record in his career) has a FIP of 3.80 while he has faced 973 opposing hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.41 (92 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.078. He has surrendered 214 base knocks (7.9 hits per 9 innings) and has had 48 free passes.

The Kansas City Royals have recorded an OBP of .293 and a team batting average of .233 for the season. They have struck out on 928 occasions (11th in baseball) and have recorded 816 base knocks. Kansas City is sitting with 94 home runs on the year and 376 RBIs. The Royals hold a slugging % of .377 and they are recording 3.72 runs per game (29th in MLB). They have hit 171 doubles, while walking 258 times and putting up 391 runs.

The Royals are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.427 in addition to having a FIP of 4.64 as a squad on the year. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.10 (818 strikeouts against 374 free passes). They are currently ranked 25th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 928. They have given up 126 HR's and they concede 5.57 runs per 9 innings (28th in the league). The Kansas City pitching staff have surrendered 564 runs for the season and come in with a team ERA of 5.25 (532 earned runs surrendered).

Sitting with 64 save situations, the Royals have accumulated 35 holds in addition to 15 blown saves. Kansas City has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 29 save opportunities and they have earned 14 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 82 times in high leverage situations and also on 68 occasions with runners on. Kansas City relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 40.7% of 113 inherited base runners. They rank 29th in baseball with a save rate of 48.3%, and they have sent 345 relievers to the mound on the season.

The Kansas City Royals have gotten 76 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .986 (14th in MLB). The Royals have racked up 886 assists, 50 errors and have accounted for 2,737 putouts over the course of the season. Out of their 8,211 innings on the diamond, the Royals have earned a defensive efficiency of 68.3% (23rd in baseball).

Lyles (67-102 career win-loss mark) has earned a 5.18 ERA while conceding 9.8 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.30 and he has faced 6,277 opposing hitters during his MLB career. He has given up a total of 826 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.418 and a FIP of 4.7. So far in his MLB career, Lyles has allowed 1,555 hits while he has accumulated 1,098 strikeouts in 1,434 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Kansas City (+150)

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