Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals Prediction, 7/29/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals

Date: Saturday, July 29, 2023

Location: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, MO

TV: Bally Sports Kansas City

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (-200) Kansas City (+170)

The Kansas City Royals (29-75) will go up against the Minnesota Twins (54-50) at Kauffman Stadium on Saturday. The line on this contest has the Twins at -200 while the Royals are coming in at +170. The over/under is set at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Bailey Ober and Jordan Lyles.

The Twins have accrued 174 doubles as a team and have knocked 139 baseballs out of the park. Minnesota owns a slugging percentage of .414 and have been called out on strikes 1,074 times, while taking a walk on 350 occasions. As a squad, the Minnesota Twins are notching 4.4 runs per game, which has them sitting at 19th in baseball. They have accumulated 435 runs batted in and 831 hits for the season, and their average at the plate is .237. They have earned 457 runs while holding a team OBP of .315.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 3.46 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.17. Twins pitchers have allowed 116 home runs and 416 runs in total (4th in baseball). Minnesota has allowed 804 hits (7.8 per 9 innings) in addition to 394 earned runs. The Twins have a team earned run average of 3.80 this year (3rd in the league), and their staff has rung up 1,006 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 291 hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.79 as a squad so far this season.

The Twins have dispatched 307 relief pitchers to the mound on the campaign. The relief pitchers have inherited 110 runners on the year and 30.9% of them earned a run for their team. They have 23 saves on the season and have blown 20 of 43 save opportunities. The Twins relievers have recorded a save percentage of 53.5% and has entered the game in 95 save situations. The relief pitchers have tallied 51 holds for the year (19th in MLB). Twins pitchers have entered the game with runners on 82 times in addition to having 117 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Twins have converted 70.2% of balls in play into outs out of 8,397 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 7th in baseball. The Minnesota Twins have earned a total of 2,799 putouts thus far, as well as 792 assists and 46 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .987 which puts them in 8th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 76 double plays.

Ober (11-10 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 3.80 and he has gone up against 973 opposing hitters during his time in the majors. He has conceded 214 hits (7.9 hits per nine innings) and has 48 free passes. His ERA is 3.41 (92 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.078. Ober has taken the ball for 243 innings and has accumulated 237 strikeouts in his pro baseball career.

The Kansas City Royals have an on-base percentage of .293 and a batting average of .233 on the campaign. They have been rung up on 921 instances (11th in baseball) and have recorded 807 base knocks. Kansas City has accounted for 92 home runs for the season to go along with 368 RBIs. The Royals hold a slugging percentage of .376 and they earn 3.68 runs per contest (29th in MLB). They have put up 170 doubles, while getting a free base 256 times and scoring 383 runs.

The Royals have a team WHIP of 1.430 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.67 as a staff this season. They sit at 25th in baseball as a staff in total hits surrendered with 920. The Kansas City pitching staff have surrendered 559 runs on the year while holding an ERA of 5.27 (528 earned runs conceded). Their K/BB ratio is 8.00 (804 strikeouts vs 370 free passes). They have allowed 126 home runs and they give up 5.58 runs per 9 innings (28th in MLB).

Kansas City has called on relief pitchers to step onto the hill in 28 save chances and they have earned 14 saves. They sit at 27th in baseball with a save percentage of 50.0%, and they have sent 340 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 78 times in high leverage situations in addition to 67 occasions with runners on. Kansas City relievers have an inherited score rate of 40.7% out of their 113 inherited runners. Sitting with 61 save situations, the Royals have 33 holds and 14 blown saves.

The Kansas City Royals have turned 76 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .987 (13th in pro baseball). The Royals have accrued 876 assists, 49 errors and have a total of 2,707 putouts on the season. In their 8,121 innings played, the Royals hold a defensive efficiency of 68.4% (22nd in the majors).

So far in his career, Lyles has given up 1,555 hits while he has accumulated 1,098 K's in 1,434 innings. Lyles (67-102 record in his career) has earned a 5.18 ERA while surrendering 9.8 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 826 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.418 and a FIP of 4.7. His K/BB ratio is 2.30 and he has gone up against 6,277 batters thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Kansas City (+170)

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