Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals Prediction, 7/28/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals

Date: Friday, July 28, 2023

Location: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, MO

TV: Bally Sports Kansas City

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (-155) Kansas City (+135)

The Minnesota Twins (54-50) are on their way to Kauffman Stadium on Friday where they will go up against the Kansas City Royals (29-75). The moneyline on this matchup has Minnesota at -155 while Kansas City is sitting at +135. The over/under is 8. The starting pitchers are Sonny Gray and Brady Singer.

Minnesota has a slugging percentage of .414 and have been called out on strikes 1,074 times, while being walked on 350 occasions. They have compiled 435 runs batted in and 831 hits so far this season, and their team batting average is at .237. The Twins have hit 174 doubles as a team and have knocked 139 baseballs out of the stadium. They have 457 runs scored and hold an OBP of .315. As a unit, the Minnesota Twins are recording 4.4 runs per contest, which is 19th in MLB.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.46 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.17. Twins pitchers have given up 116 long balls and also 416 total runs (4th in baseball). Minnesota has yielded 804 hits (7.8 per 9 innings) as well as 394 earned runs. The Twins have compiled a team earned run average of 3.80 for the year (3rd in the league), and they have struck out 1,006 batters. They have walked 291 batters and their FIP is 3.79 as a team over the course of the season.

The Twins bullpen have accumulated a save rate of 53.5% and has stepped onto the mound in 95 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 110 runners for the season and 30.9% of them crossed home plate. Twins relief pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 82 times and also have had 117 appearances in high leverage situations. The Twins have dispatched 307 relievers to the mound on the season. The bullpen have earned 51 holds so far this year (19th in the league). They have earned 23 saves this season and have blown 20 of their 43 save opportunities.

The Minnesota Twins have 2,799 putouts for the season, as well as 792 assists and 46 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .987 which has them ranked 8th in baseball, and have a total of 76 double plays. The Twins have transformed 70.2% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 8,397 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 7th in the majors.

Gray (94-81 career mark) has a FIP of 3.61 while going up against 6,245 opposing hitters during his time in the majors. He has surrendered 1,292 hits (7.8 hits per 9 innings) with 533 walks. His earned run average is 3.53 (588 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.218. Gray has taken the ball for 1,498 innings and is sitting with 1,448 punch outs so far in his pro baseball career.

The Royals hold a slugging % of .376 and they score 3.68 runs per contest (29th in the league). They have recorded 170 two-baggers, while getting a free base 256 times as well as putting up 383 runs. Kansas City has knocked in 92 home runs so far this year to go along with 368 RBIs. They have been rung up on 921 occasions (10th in MLB) and have earned a total of 807 base hits. The Kansas City Royals have recorded a team on-base percentage of .293 and a batting average of .233 for the season.

The Royals have a team WHIP of 1.430 and have a FIP of 4.67 as a unit this season. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.00 (804 strikeouts vs 370 bases on balls). They sit at 25th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 920. They have conceded 126 long balls and they concede 5.58 runs per 9 innings (28th in baseball). The Kansas City pitching staff have yielded 559 runs so far this year and come in with a team ERA of 5.27 (528 earned runs surrendered).

Sitting with 61 save situations, the Royals have amassed 33 holds and 14 blown saves. Kansas City has called on relief pitchers to take the mound in 28 save opportunities and they have come away with 14 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 78 times in high leverage situations and also on 67 occasions with base runners. Kansas City relievers have an inherited score percentage of 40.7% of 113 inherited runners. They are ranked 27th in baseball holding a save percentage of 50.0%, and they have sent 340 relief pitchers onto the diamond for the season.

In their 8,121 innings on the field, the Royals have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 68.4% (22nd in MLB). The Kansas City Royals have gotten 76 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .987 (13th in pro baseball). The Royals have accrued 876 assists, 49 errors and have 2,707 putouts this year.

So far in his MLB career, Singer has allowed 462 hits and he has 432 punch outs in 454 frames. Singer (25-28 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a 4.37 ERA while conceding 9.1 hits per nine innings. He has conceded a total of 221 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.339 and a FIP of 3.9. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.94 and he has faced 1,949 hitters in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Kansas City (+135)

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