Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, 9/4/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians

Date: Monday, September 4, 2023

Location: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH

TV: Bally Sports Great Lakes

The Minnesota Twins (71-65) are headed to Progressive Field on Monday where they will go up against the Cleveland Guardians (66-70). The expected starting pitchers will be Pablo Lopez and Gavin Williams.

As a unit, the Minnesota Twins are scoring 4.5 runs per game, which ranks them 15th in MLB. They have 617 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .319. The Twins have hit 226 doubles as a team and have hit 191 balls out of the park. They have tallied 592 runs batted in in addition to 1,103 hits for the season, while their team batting average is sitting at .240. Minnesota has a slugging % of .421 and have struck out 1,400 times, while taking a walk on 469 occasions.

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They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.38 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.20. Twins pitchers have given up 163 home runs in addition to 565 total runs (7th in MLB). Minnesota has conceded 1,088 base knocks (8.0 per 9 innings) in addition to 533 earned runs. The Twins have compiled a team ERA of 3.93 on the campaign (8th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 1,281 hitters. They have walked 379 opposing players and their FIP is 3.95 as a unit so far this season.

The Twins have sent 410 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 141 base runners for the year with 30.5% of those runners crossed the plate. They have tallied 32 saves for the season and have blown 27 of their 59 save opportunities. The Twins relievers have compiled a save rate of 54.2% and has stepped onto the mound in 133 save situations. The relievers have accumulated 72 holds over the course of the season (15th in MLB). Twins relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 106 times in addition to having 161 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Twins have turned 69.9% of balls in play into outs out of 10,980 innings, which has them sitting at 8th in pro baseball. The Minnesota Twins have a total of 3,660 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 1,066 assists and 59 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .988 which has them sitting 6th in pro baseball, and they have twisted 100 double plays.

Lopez has thrown 674 frames and is sitting with 685 K's during his MLB career. His earned run average is 3.88 (291 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.180. He has conceded 611 hits (8.2 hits per nine innings) with 185 free passes. Lopez (37-38 career win-loss record) holds a FIP of 3.69 while he has gone up against 2,790 opposing hitters during his time in the majors.

Cleveland has tallied 104 HRs so far this season as well as 518 RBIs. They have recorded 248 two-baggers, while taking a walk 384 times and notching 555 runs. The Cleveland Guardians hold an on-base percentage of .310 and a batting average of .249 this year. The Guardians hold a team slugging percentage of .381 and they are recording 4.08 runs per game (26th in baseball). They have struck out on 968 occasions (30th in the league) and have notched a total of 1,153 hits.

The Guardians have a WHIP of 1.277 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.18 as a squad on the campaign. They sit at 15th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,123. The Cleveland pitching staff have allowed 562 runs this year while having a team ERA of 3.84 (519 earned runs yielded). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.10 (1,096 strikeouts vs 431 walks). They have surrendered 145 home runs and they surrender 4.16 runs per 9 innings (6th in the league).

Cleveland relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 22.0% of 164 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 156 times in high leverage situations and on 118 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 149 save situations, the Guardians have tallied 79 holds in addition to 25 blown saves. They rank 19th in the league with a save percentage of 61.5%, and they have sent 449 relievers onto the diamond this season. Cleveland has called on relievers to take the mound in 65 save opportunities and they have come away with 40 saves.

The Cleveland Guardians have gotten 105 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .987 (8th in pro baseball). The Guardians have accrued 1,206 assists, 64 errors and have earned 3,651 putouts for the season. In their 10,953 innings on the field, the Guardians have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 70.2% (6th in pro baseball).

Williams (1-5 career record) has a 3.46 earned run average while conceding 7.8 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.52 and he has faced 275 hitters in his MLB career. He has given up a total of 25 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.277 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.0. During his MLB career, Williams has given up 56 hits while accumulating 68 K's in 65 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Minnesota

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